Quick-Med Technologies Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

QMDT Stock  USD 0.0001  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Quick Med Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Quick-Med Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength index (rsi) of Quick-Med Technologies' share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Quick-Med Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Quick Med Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Quick-Med Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Quick Med Technologies from the perspective of Quick-Med Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Quick Med Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Quick-Med Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 1.0E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Quick-Med Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

Quick-Med Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Quick-Med price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Quick-Med using various technical indicators. When you analyze Quick-Med charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Quick-Med Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Quick Med Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Quick-Med Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Quick Med Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Quick-Med Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Quick-Med Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Quick-Med Technologies Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Quick-Med TechnologiesQuick-Med Technologies Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Quick-Med Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Quick-Med Technologies' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Quick-Med Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Quick-Med Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.0001
0.0001
Downside
0.0001
Expected Value
0.0001
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Quick-Med Technologies pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Quick-Med Technologies pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria30.385
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Quick Med Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Quick-Med Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Quick-Med Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quick Med Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Quick-Med Technologies' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.00010.00
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0000840.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
0.00010.00010.0001
Details

Quick-Med Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Quick-Med Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Quick-Med Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Quick-Med Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Quick-Med Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Quick-Med Technologies' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Quick-Med Technologies' historical news coverage. Quick-Med Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Quick-Med Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.0001
0.0001
After-hype Price
0.00
Upside
Quick-Med Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Quick Med Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Quick-Med Technologies Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Quick-Med Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Quick-Med Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Quick-Med Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
3 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
In about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.0001
0.0001
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Quick-Med Technologies Hype Timeline

Quick Med Technologies is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Quick-Med is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Quick-Med Technologies is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Quick Med Technologies had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Quick-Med Technologies to cross-verify your projections.

Quick-Med Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Quick-Med Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Quick-Med Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Quick-Med Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Quick-Med Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CVHIFVentura Cannabis Wellness 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
THCTTHC Therapeutics 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.00  0.00  350.00 
EMGEEmergent Health Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  150.00 
CANQFCanaQuest Medical Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NXGBPyramidion Technology Group 0.72 6 per month 13.11  0.03  28.57 (25.00) 154.67 
SYUPANBC INC 0.19 4 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
TRGMTargeted Medical 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
UPHUphealth 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
DGENDeltagen 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NMXSNet Medical Xpress 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.12  0.00  0.00  200.00 

Other Forecasting Options for Quick-Med Technologies

For every potential investor in Quick-Med, whether a beginner or expert, Quick-Med Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Quick-Med Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Quick-Med. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Quick-Med Technologies' price trends.

Quick-Med Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Quick-Med Technologies pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Quick-Med Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Quick-Med Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Quick-Med Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Quick-Med Technologies pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Quick-Med Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Quick-Med Technologies pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Quick Med Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Quick-Med Technologies

The number of cover stories for Quick-Med Technologies depends on current market conditions and Quick-Med Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Quick-Med Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Quick-Med Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Additional Tools for Quick-Med Pink Sheet Analysis

When running Quick-Med Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Quick-Med Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Quick-Med Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Quick-Med Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Quick-Med Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Quick-Med Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Quick-Med Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.