Quantex Fund Mutual Fund Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

QNTIX Fund  USD 38.87  0.02  0.05%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Quantex Fund Institutional on the next trading day is expected to be 38.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.63. Quantex Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Quantex Fund's mutual fund price is slightly above 68 indicating that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Quantex, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 68

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Quantex Fund's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Quantex Fund Institutional, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Quantex Fund hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Quantex Fund Institutional from the perspective of Quantex Fund response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Quantex Fund Institutional on the next trading day is expected to be 38.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.63.

Quantex Fund after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 38.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Quantex Fund to cross-verify your projections.

Quantex Fund Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Quantex price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Quantex using various technical indicators. When you analyze Quantex charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Quantex Fund simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Quantex Fund Institutional are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Quantex Fund Institu prices get older.

Quantex Fund Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 20th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Quantex Fund Institutional on the next trading day is expected to be 38.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.21, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.63.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Quantex Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Quantex Fund's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Quantex Fund Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

Backtest Quantex FundQuantex Fund Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Quantex Fund Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Quantex Fund's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Quantex Fund's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.60 and 40.14, respectively. We have considered Quantex Fund's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.87
38.87
Expected Value
40.14
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Quantex Fund mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Quantex Fund mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.7216
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0738
MADMean absolute deviation0.2438
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0067
SAESum of the absolute errors14.63
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Quantex Fund Institutional forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Quantex Fund observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Quantex Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quantex Fund Institu. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.6138.8740.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.8640.1241.38
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.0638.6139.16
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Quantex Fund

For every potential investor in Quantex, whether a beginner or expert, Quantex Fund's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Quantex Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Quantex. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Quantex Fund's price trends.

Quantex Fund Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Quantex Fund mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Quantex Fund could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Quantex Fund by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Quantex Fund Institu Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Quantex Fund's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Quantex Fund's current price.

Quantex Fund Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Quantex Fund mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Quantex Fund shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Quantex Fund mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Quantex Fund Institutional entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Quantex Fund Risk Indicators

The analysis of Quantex Fund's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Quantex Fund's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting quantex mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Quantex Mutual Fund

Quantex Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether Quantex Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Quantex with respect to the benefits of owning Quantex Fund security.
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