ProShares Nasdaq Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

QQQA Etf  USD 46.55  0.01  0.02%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ProShares Nasdaq 100 Dorsey on the next trading day is expected to be 46.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.76. ProShares Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast ProShares Nasdaq stock prices and determine the direction of ProShares Nasdaq 100 Dorsey's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ProShares Nasdaq's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
ProShares Nasdaq simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for ProShares Nasdaq 100 Dorsey are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as ProShares Nasdaq 100 prices get older.

ProShares Nasdaq Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of ProShares Nasdaq 100 Dorsey on the next trading day is expected to be 46.55 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.43, mean absolute percentage error of 0.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.76.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ProShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ProShares Nasdaq's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ProShares Nasdaq Etf Forecast Pattern

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ProShares Nasdaq Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ProShares Nasdaq's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ProShares Nasdaq's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 45.17 and 47.93, respectively. We have considered ProShares Nasdaq's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
46.55
46.55
Expected Value
47.93
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ProShares Nasdaq etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ProShares Nasdaq etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.0602
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.109
MADMean absolute deviation0.4293
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0099
SAESum of the absolute errors25.76
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting ProShares Nasdaq 100 Dorsey forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent ProShares Nasdaq observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for ProShares Nasdaq

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ProShares Nasdaq 100. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
45.1346.5147.89
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.2045.5846.96
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
44.8646.0247.17
Details

Other Forecasting Options for ProShares Nasdaq

For every potential investor in ProShares, whether a beginner or expert, ProShares Nasdaq's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ProShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ProShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ProShares Nasdaq's price trends.

ProShares Nasdaq Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ProShares Nasdaq etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ProShares Nasdaq could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ProShares Nasdaq by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ProShares Nasdaq 100 Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of ProShares Nasdaq's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of ProShares Nasdaq's current price.

ProShares Nasdaq Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ProShares Nasdaq etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ProShares Nasdaq shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ProShares Nasdaq etf market strength indicators, traders can identify ProShares Nasdaq 100 Dorsey entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ProShares Nasdaq Risk Indicators

The analysis of ProShares Nasdaq's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ProShares Nasdaq's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting proshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether ProShares Nasdaq 100 offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of ProShares Nasdaq's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Proshares Nasdaq 100 Dorsey Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Proshares Nasdaq 100 Dorsey Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ProShares Nasdaq to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
The market value of ProShares Nasdaq 100 is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of ProShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of ProShares Nasdaq's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is ProShares Nasdaq's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because ProShares Nasdaq's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect ProShares Nasdaq's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between ProShares Nasdaq's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if ProShares Nasdaq is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, ProShares Nasdaq's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.