Defiance Nasdaq Etf Forward View
| QQQY Etf | 22.61 0.47 2.12% |
Defiance Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of Defiance Nasdaq's share price is below 20 indicating that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Defiance Nasdaq hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Defiance Nasdaq 100 from the perspective of Defiance Nasdaq response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Defiance Nasdaq using Defiance Nasdaq's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Defiance using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Defiance Nasdaq's stock price.
Defiance Nasdaq Implied Volatility | 0.9 |
Defiance Nasdaq's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Defiance Nasdaq 100 stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Defiance Nasdaq's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Defiance Nasdaq stock will not fluctuate a lot when Defiance Nasdaq's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Defiance Nasdaq 100 on the next trading day is expected to be 21.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.06. Defiance Nasdaq after-hype prediction price | USD 22.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Defiance | Build AI portfolio with Defiance Etf |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Defiance contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Defiance Nasdaq 100 will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0563% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Defiance Nasdaq trading at USD 22.61, that is roughly USD 0.0127 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Defiance Nasdaq's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Defiance Nasdaq 100 options at the current volatility level of 0.9%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Defiance Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Defiance Nasdaq's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Defiance Nasdaq's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Defiance Nasdaq stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Defiance Nasdaq's open interest, investors have to compare it to Defiance Nasdaq's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Defiance Nasdaq is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Defiance. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Defiance Nasdaq Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Defiance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Defiance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Defiance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Defiance Nasdaq Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 8th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Defiance Nasdaq 100 on the next trading day is expected to be 21.93 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.16, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Defiance Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Defiance Nasdaq's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Defiance Nasdaq Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Defiance Nasdaq | Defiance Nasdaq Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Defiance Nasdaq Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Defiance Nasdaq's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Defiance Nasdaq's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 21.07 and 22.78, respectively. We have considered Defiance Nasdaq's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Defiance Nasdaq etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Defiance Nasdaq etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7783 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1622 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0071 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.0555 |
Predictive Modules for Defiance Nasdaq
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Nasdaq 100. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Defiance Nasdaq After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Defiance Nasdaq at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Defiance Nasdaq or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Defiance Nasdaq, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Defiance Nasdaq Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Defiance Nasdaq's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Defiance Nasdaq's historical news coverage. Defiance Nasdaq's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 21.75 and 23.47, respectively. We have considered Defiance Nasdaq's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Defiance Nasdaq is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Defiance Nasdaq 100 is based on 3 months time horizon.
Defiance Nasdaq Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Defiance Nasdaq is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Defiance Nasdaq backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Defiance Nasdaq, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
22.61 | 22.61 | 0.00 |
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Defiance Nasdaq Hype Timeline
Defiance Nasdaq 100 is at this time traded for 22.61. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Defiance is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Defiance Nasdaq is about 13.28%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.61. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Defiance Nasdaq to cross-verify your projections.Defiance Nasdaq Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Defiance Nasdaq's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Defiance Nasdaq's future price movements. Getting to know how Defiance Nasdaq's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Defiance Nasdaq may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GXIG | Global X Investment | 0.07 | 1 per month | 0.32 | (0.18) | 0.44 | (0.36) | 3.63 | |
| SGVT | Schwab Strategic Trust | (65.20) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (5.70) | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.07 | |
| HOOW | Roundhill ETF Trust | 0.26 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 8.59 | (11.58) | 25.37 | |
| DBAW | Xtrackers MSCI All | 0.05 | 1 per month | 0.55 | 0.06 | 1.15 | (1.16) | 3.25 | |
| RMOP | Rockefeller Opportunistic Municipal | (0.05) | 1 per month | 0.06 | (0.44) | 0.28 | (0.28) | 0.76 | |
| TAXX | BondBloxx ETF Trust | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (1.20) | 0.12 | (0.08) | 0.32 | |
| HFSI | Hartford Strategic Income | 0.01 | 3 per month | 0.06 | (0.43) | 0.28 | (0.34) | 0.68 | |
| FUNL | CornerCap Fundametrics Large Cap | 0.22 | 3 per month | 0.57 | 0.07 | 1.39 | (1.32) | 3.89 | |
| GVLU | Tidal ETF Trust | (0.13) | 3 per month | 0.43 | 0.12 | 1.77 | (0.92) | 3.46 | |
| UJAN | Innovator SP 500 | 0.02 | 2 per month | 0.24 | (0.24) | 0.45 | (0.40) | 1.58 |
Other Forecasting Options for Defiance Nasdaq
For every potential investor in Defiance, whether a beginner or expert, Defiance Nasdaq's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Defiance Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Defiance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Defiance Nasdaq's price trends.Defiance Nasdaq Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Defiance Nasdaq etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Defiance Nasdaq could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Defiance Nasdaq by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Defiance Nasdaq Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Defiance Nasdaq etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Defiance Nasdaq shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Defiance Nasdaq etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Defiance Nasdaq 100 entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4593.91 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 1.119048 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.02 | |||
| Day Median Price | 22.44 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 22.5 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.4 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.47 |
Defiance Nasdaq Risk Indicators
The analysis of Defiance Nasdaq's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Defiance Nasdaq's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting defiance etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6693 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8879 | |||
| Variance | 0.7884 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Defiance Nasdaq
The number of cover stories for Defiance Nasdaq depends on current market conditions and Defiance Nasdaq's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Defiance Nasdaq is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Defiance Nasdaq's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Defiance Nasdaq to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Defiance Nasdaq 100's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Defiance's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Defiance Nasdaq's intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Defiance Nasdaq's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Defiance Nasdaq's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Defiance Nasdaq should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Defiance Nasdaq's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.