Queens Road Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing

QRC Stock   13.70  0.17  1.26%   
Queens Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Queens Road's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Queens Road's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Queens Road fundamentals over time.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Queens Road's stock price is about 65 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Queens, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 65

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Queens Road's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Queens Road Capital, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Queens Road's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.102
Wall Street Target Price
15.8079
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.131
Using Queens Road hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Queens Road Capital from the perspective of Queens Road response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Queens Road Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 13.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.92.

Queens Road after-hype prediction price

    
  CAD 13.7  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Queens Road to cross-verify your projections.

Queens Road Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Queens price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Queens using various technical indicators. When you analyze Queens charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Queens Road simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Queens Road Capital are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Queens Road Capital prices get older.

Queens Road Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Queens Road Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 13.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.18, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.92.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Queens Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Queens Road's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Queens Road Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Queens Road  Queens Road Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Queens Road Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Queens Road's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Queens Road's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.39 and 16.01, respectively. We have considered Queens Road's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
13.70
13.70
Expected Value
16.01
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Queens Road stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Queens Road stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.6601
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0797
MADMean absolute deviation0.182
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0154
SAESum of the absolute errors10.92
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Queens Road Capital forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Queens Road observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Queens Road

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Queens Road Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
11.3913.7016.01
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
10.1812.4914.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.1913.5316.87
Details

Queens Road After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Queens Road at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Queens Road or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Queens Road, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Queens Road Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Queens Road's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Queens Road's historical news coverage. Queens Road's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.39 and 16.01, respectively. We have considered Queens Road's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
13.70
13.70
After-hype Price
16.01
Upside
Queens Road is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Queens Road Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.

Queens Road Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Queens Road is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Queens Road backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Queens Road, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.73 
2.31
 0.00  
  0.01 
4 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In about 4 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
13.70
13.70
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Queens Road Hype Timeline

Queens Road Capital is at this time traded for 13.70on Toronto Exchange of Canada. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.01. Queens is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.73%. %. The volatility of related hype on Queens Road is about 12993.75%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.69. About 57.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.16. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Queens Road Capital last dividend was issued on the 3rd of November 2025. The entity had 1:10 split on the 15th of January 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Queens Road to cross-verify your projections.

Queens Road Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Queens Road's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Queens Road's future price movements. Getting to know how Queens Road's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Queens Road may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FFNNorth American Financial 0.07 2 per month 1.57  0.14  2.33 (2.99) 7.76 
DGSDividend Growth Split(0.03)3 per month 0.89  0.16  1.61 (1.43) 5.31 
AIM-PAAimia Srs 1 0.00 0 per month 0.76  0.04  2.44 (1.51) 9.51 
LBSLife Banc Split(0.07)5 per month 0.59  0.17  1.60 (1.24) 3.97 
URBUrbana(0.27)3 per month 1.69  0.08  3.92 (2.96) 11.09 
URB-AUrbana(0.03)4 per month 1.29  0.04  2.23 (2.02) 8.06 
FCFirm Capital Mortgage 0.05 9 per month 0.33  0.09  0.77 (0.70) 2.10 
SBCBrompton Split Banc 0.23 9 per month 0.48  0.28  2.01 (1.28) 4.59 
BKCanadian Banc Corp(0.11)7 per month 0.74  0.13  1.74 (1.26) 11.77 

Other Forecasting Options for Queens Road

For every potential investor in Queens, whether a beginner or expert, Queens Road's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Queens Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Queens. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Queens Road's price trends.

Queens Road Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Queens Road stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Queens Road could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Queens Road by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Queens Road Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Queens Road stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Queens Road shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Queens Road stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Queens Road Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Queens Road Risk Indicators

The analysis of Queens Road's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Queens Road's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting queens stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Queens Road

The number of cover stories for Queens Road depends on current market conditions and Queens Road's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Queens Road is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Queens Road's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Queens Road Short Properties

Queens Road's future price predictability will typically decrease when Queens Road's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Queens Road Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Queens Road's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Queens Road's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding51.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments3.1 M

Other Information on Investing in Queens Stock

Queens Road financial ratios help investors to determine whether Queens Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Queens with respect to the benefits of owning Queens Road security.