Quest Resource Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

QRHC Stock  USD 7.05  0.11  1.59%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Quest Resource Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 6.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.05. Quest Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Quest Resource stock prices and determine the direction of Quest Resource Holding's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Quest Resource's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
The current year's Inventory Turnover is expected to grow to about (244.9 K). In addition to that, Payables Turnover is expected to decline to 3.90. As of November 22, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 11.4 M. In addition to that, Net Loss is expected to decline to about (7.3 M).
A four-period moving average forecast model for Quest Resource Holding is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Quest Resource 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Quest Resource Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 6.94 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.05.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Quest Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Quest Resource's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Quest Resource Stock Forecast Pattern

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Quest Resource Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Quest Resource's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Quest Resource's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.41 and 9.47, respectively. We have considered Quest Resource's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
7.05
6.94
Expected Value
9.47
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Quest Resource stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Quest Resource stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.2018
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0671
MADMean absolute deviation0.2115
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.027
SAESum of the absolute errors12.055
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Quest Resource. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Quest Resource Holding and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Quest Resource

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quest Resource Holding. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.527.059.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
3.746.278.80
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
10.6211.6712.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Quest Resource. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Quest Resource's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Quest Resource's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Quest Resource Holding.

Other Forecasting Options for Quest Resource

For every potential investor in Quest, whether a beginner or expert, Quest Resource's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Quest Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Quest. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Quest Resource's price trends.

Quest Resource Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Quest Resource stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Quest Resource could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Quest Resource by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Quest Resource Holding Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Quest Resource's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Quest Resource's current price.

Quest Resource Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Quest Resource stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Quest Resource shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Quest Resource stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Quest Resource Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Quest Resource Risk Indicators

The analysis of Quest Resource's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Quest Resource's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting quest stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Quest Resource Holding offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Quest Resource's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Quest Resource Holding Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Quest Resource Holding Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Quest Resource to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Quest Resource. If investors know Quest will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Quest Resource listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.667
Earnings Share
(0.38)
Revenue Per Share
14.016
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.033
Return On Assets
0.0146
The market value of Quest Resource Holding is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Quest that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Quest Resource's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Quest Resource's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Quest Resource's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Quest Resource's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Quest Resource's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Quest Resource is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Quest Resource's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.