QuantumSi Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

QSI Stock  USD 1.62  0.41  33.88%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of QuantumSi on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.56. QuantumSi Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of QuantumSi's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, QuantumSi's Inventory Turnover is decreasing as compared to previous years. The QuantumSi's current Payables Turnover is estimated to increase to 0.54, while Receivables Turnover is projected to decrease to 2.35. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 110.4 M. The current Net Loss is estimated to decrease to about (125.2 M).
A four-period moving average forecast model for QuantumSi is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

QuantumSi 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 25th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of QuantumSi on the next trading day is expected to be 1.46 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.08, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 4.56.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict QuantumSi Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that QuantumSi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

QuantumSi Stock Forecast Pattern

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QuantumSi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting QuantumSi's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. QuantumSi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 17.88, respectively. We have considered QuantumSi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.62
1.46
Expected Value
17.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of QuantumSi stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent QuantumSi stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.0455
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0264
MADMean absolute deviation0.08
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0773
SAESum of the absolute errors4.5625
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of QuantumSi. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for QuantumSi and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for QuantumSi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QuantumSi. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of QuantumSi's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.091.7018.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.5818.00
Details
2 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
1.822.002.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for QuantumSi

For every potential investor in QuantumSi, whether a beginner or expert, QuantumSi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. QuantumSi Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in QuantumSi. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying QuantumSi's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

QuantumSi Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of QuantumSi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of QuantumSi's current price.

QuantumSi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how QuantumSi stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading QuantumSi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying QuantumSi stock market strength indicators, traders can identify QuantumSi entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

QuantumSi Risk Indicators

The analysis of QuantumSi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in QuantumSi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting quantumsi stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether QuantumSi offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of QuantumSi's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Quantumsi Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Quantumsi Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of QuantumSi to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in QuantumSi Stock please use our How to Invest in QuantumSi guide.
You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.
Is Biotechnology space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of QuantumSi. If investors know QuantumSi will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about QuantumSi listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.64)
Revenue Per Share
0.016
Quarterly Revenue Growth
2.529
Return On Assets
(0.23)
Return On Equity
(0.36)
The market value of QuantumSi is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of QuantumSi that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of QuantumSi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is QuantumSi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because QuantumSi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect QuantumSi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between QuantumSi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if QuantumSi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, QuantumSi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.