Aqr Tm Mutual Fund Forecast - Naive Prediction

Aqr Tm Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Aqr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Aqr using various technical indicators. When you analyze Aqr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur. A naive forecasting model for Aqr Tm is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Aqr Tm Emerging value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Aqr Tm Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Aqr Tm Emerging on the next trading day is expected to be 14.17 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.1, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.16.

Aqr Tm Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Aqr Tm Forecasted Value

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aqr Tm mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aqr Tm mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality. This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Aqr Tm Emerging. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Aqr Tm. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Aqr Tm

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aqr Tm Emerging. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.

Hype Prediction Low Estimated High 13.48 14.26 15.04 Details

Intrinsic Valuation Low Real High 12.83 15.26 16.04 Details

Bollinger Band Projection (param) Low Middle High 12.70 13.60 14.49 Details

Aqr Tm After-Hype Price Density Analysis

Aqr Tm Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Aqr Tm Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Notes

Aqr Tm Hype Timeline

Aqr Tm Emerging is at this time traded for 14.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 1.97. Aqr is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Aqr Tm is about 6.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.23. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.31. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Aqr Tm Emerging last dividend was issued on the 23rd of December 2019. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be very soon. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Aqr Tm to cross-verify your projections.

Aqr Tm Related Hype Analysis

Other Forecasting Options for Aqr Tm

For every potential investor in Aqr, whether a beginner or expert, Aqr Tm's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aqr Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aqr. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aqr Tm's price trends.

Aqr Tm Related Equities

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Correlation

Aqr Tm Market Strength Events

Aqr Tm Risk Indicators

Story Coverage note for Aqr Tm

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