Firsthand Technology Opportunities Fund Price Patterns

TEFQX Fund  USD 4.29  0.11  2.63%   
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of Firsthand Technology's share price is approaching 32. This usually implies that the mutual fund is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Firsthand Technology, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 32

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Firsthand Technology's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Firsthand Technology Opportunities, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Firsthand Technology hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Firsthand Technology Opportunities from the perspective of Firsthand Technology response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Firsthand Technology to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Firsthand because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Firsthand Technology after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 4.29  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Firsthand Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.304.396.48
Details

Firsthand Technology After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Firsthand Technology at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Firsthand Technology or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Firsthand Technology, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Firsthand Technology Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Firsthand Technology's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Firsthand Technology's historical news coverage. Firsthand Technology's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.20 and 6.38, respectively. We have considered Firsthand Technology's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
4.29
4.29
After-hype Price
6.38
Upside
Firsthand Technology is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Firsthand Technology is based on 3 months time horizon.

Firsthand Technology Mutual Fund Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Firsthand Technology is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Firsthand Technology backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Firsthand Technology, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
2.09
 0.00  
  0.52 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
4.29
4.29
0.00 
20,900  
Notes

Firsthand Technology Hype Timeline

Firsthand Technology is at this time traded for 4.29. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.52. Firsthand is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.16%. %. The volatility of related hype on Firsthand Technology is about 64.86%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.77. The company last dividend was issued on the 13th of December 1970. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be very soon.
Check out Firsthand Technology Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Firsthand Technology Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Firsthand Technology's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Firsthand Technology's future price movements. Getting to know how Firsthand Technology's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Firsthand Technology may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TREMXT Rowe Price(0.06)1 per month 0.35  0.23  2.45 (1.02) 13.13 
APPLXAppleseed Fund Appleseed 0.00 1 per month 0.00  0.18  1.54 (0.87) 21.67 
FMRAXFidelity Managed Retirement 0.00 0 per month 0.25 (0.03) 0.58 (0.62) 1.60 
IICAXLarge Cap Equity 0.00 0 per month 0.66  0.02  1.14 (1.24) 3.26 
MADFXMatrix Advisors Dividend 0.41 1 per month 0.10  0.18  1.48 (1.02) 7.62 
OBCHXOberweis China Opportunities 0.00 0 per month 0.98  0.04  2.30 (1.69) 5.47 
FIXRXFidelity Income Replacement 0.00 0 per month 0.20 (0.05) 0.54 (0.54) 1.35 
ATACXAtac Inflation Rotation(30.15)6 per month 0.92 (0.06) 1.45 (1.49) 4.76 
FFBFXEmerald Banking And 0.80 1 per month 0.00 (0.05) 2.76 (2.91) 6.65 

Firsthand Technology Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Firsthand price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Firsthand using various technical indicators. When you analyze Firsthand charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Firsthand Technology Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Firsthand Technology stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Firsthand Technology Opportunities, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Firsthand Technology based on analysis of Firsthand Technology hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Firsthand Technology's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Firsthand Technology's related companies.

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Other Information on Investing in Firsthand Mutual Fund

Firsthand Technology financial ratios help investors to determine whether Firsthand Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Firsthand with respect to the benefits of owning Firsthand Technology security.
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