Defiance Quantum Etf Forecast - Simple Regression
| QTUM Etf | USD 117.95 0.74 0.62% |
Defiance Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The relative strength momentum indicator of Defiance Quantum's share price is at 55 indicating that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Defiance Quantum, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Defiance Quantum hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Defiance Quantum ETF from the perspective of Defiance Quantum response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Defiance Quantum using Defiance Quantum's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Defiance using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Defiance Quantum's stock price.
Defiance Quantum Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
Defiance Quantum's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Defiance Quantum ETF stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Defiance Quantum's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Defiance Quantum stock will not fluctuate a lot when Defiance Quantum's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Defiance Quantum ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 116.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 184.38. Defiance Quantum after-hype prediction price | USD 117.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Defiance | Build AI portfolio with Defiance Etf |
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Defiance contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Defiance Quantum ETF will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Defiance Quantum trading at USD 117.95, that is roughly USD 0.0265 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Defiance Quantum's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Defiance Quantum ETF options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Defiance Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Defiance Quantum's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Defiance Quantum's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Defiance Quantum stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Defiance Quantum's open interest, investors have to compare it to Defiance Quantum's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Defiance Quantum is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Defiance. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Defiance Quantum Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Defiance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Defiance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Defiance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Defiance Quantum Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Defiance Quantum ETF on the next trading day is expected to be 116.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.02, mean absolute percentage error of 12.91, and the sum of the absolute errors of 184.38.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Defiance Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Defiance Quantum's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Defiance Quantum Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Defiance Quantum | Defiance Quantum Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Defiance Quantum Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Defiance Quantum's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Defiance Quantum's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 115.12 and 118.25, respectively. We have considered Defiance Quantum's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Defiance Quantum etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Defiance Quantum etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.6689 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0226 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0275 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 184.3802 |
Predictive Modules for Defiance Quantum
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Quantum ETF. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance Quantum's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Defiance Quantum After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Defiance Quantum at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Defiance Quantum or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Defiance Quantum, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Defiance Quantum Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Defiance Quantum's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Defiance Quantum's historical news coverage. Defiance Quantum's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 116.24 and 119.36, respectively. We have considered Defiance Quantum's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Defiance Quantum is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Defiance Quantum ETF is based on 3 months time horizon.
Defiance Quantum Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Defiance Quantum is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Defiance Quantum backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Defiance Quantum, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.56 | 0.15 | 0.01 | 9 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
117.95 | 117.80 | 0.13 |
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Defiance Quantum Hype Timeline
Defiance Quantum ETF is at this time traded for 117.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Defiance is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 117.8. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 72.9%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.13%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.07%. The volatility of related hype on Defiance Quantum is about 1733.33%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 117.94. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Defiance Quantum to cross-verify your projections.Defiance Quantum Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Defiance Quantum's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Defiance Quantum's future price movements. Getting to know how Defiance Quantum's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Defiance Quantum may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LOUP | Innovator Loup Frontier | 0.33 | 3 per month | 1.78 | 0.01 | 2.69 | (3.50) | 7.98 | |
| QUBT | Quantum Computing | (0.80) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 11.62 | (9.46) | 22.78 | |
| SNSR | Global X Internet | 0.20 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.10 | (2.41) | 4.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for Defiance Quantum
For every potential investor in Defiance, whether a beginner or expert, Defiance Quantum's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Defiance Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Defiance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Defiance Quantum's price trends.Defiance Quantum Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Defiance Quantum etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Defiance Quantum could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Defiance Quantum by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Defiance Quantum Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Defiance Quantum etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Defiance Quantum shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Defiance Quantum etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Defiance Quantum ETF entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 117.95 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 117.95 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.37) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.74) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.43 |
Defiance Quantum Risk Indicators
The analysis of Defiance Quantum's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Defiance Quantum's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting defiance etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.28 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.99 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.67 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.32) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Defiance Quantum
The number of cover stories for Defiance Quantum depends on current market conditions and Defiance Quantum's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Defiance Quantum is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Defiance Quantum's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Defiance Quantum to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Share Portfolio module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
The market value of Defiance Quantum ETF is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Defiance that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Defiance Quantum's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Defiance Quantum's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Defiance Quantum's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Defiance Quantum's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Defiance Quantum's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Defiance Quantum is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Defiance Quantum's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.