QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

QUIA Stock  SEK 0.0005  0.0002  28.57%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0008 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. QuiaPEG Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Holding, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Holding from the perspective of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0008 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.

QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals after-hype prediction price

    
  SEK 3.48E-4  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in employment.

QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine QuiaPEG price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for QuiaPEG using various technical indicators. When you analyze QuiaPEG charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Holding value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 3rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Holding on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0008 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000009, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict QuiaPEG Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Stock Forecast Pattern

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Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria101.9372
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.0E-4
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1407
SAESum of the absolute errors0.014
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Holding. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.000316.28
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.000516.28
Details

QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals stock market strength indicators, traders can identify QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Holding entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals Risk Indicators

The analysis of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting quiapeg stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Additional Tools for QuiaPEG Stock Analysis

When running QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals' price analysis, check to measure QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals is operating at the current time. Most of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of QuiaPEG Pharmaceuticals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.