Quantumsphere Acquisition Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

QUMS Stock   10.00  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Quantumsphere Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.34. Quantumsphere Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
A naive forecasting model for Quantumsphere Acquisition is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Quantumsphere Acquisition value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Quantumsphere Acquisition Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Quantumsphere Acquisition on the next trading day is expected to be 10.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000057, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.34.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Quantumsphere Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Quantumsphere Acquisition's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Quantumsphere Acquisition Stock Forecast Pattern

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Quantumsphere Acquisition Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Quantumsphere Acquisition's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Quantumsphere Acquisition's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 9.93 and 10.07, respectively. We have considered Quantumsphere Acquisition's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.00
10.00
Expected Value
10.07
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Quantumsphere Acquisition stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Quantumsphere Acquisition stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria108.3354
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0056
MAPEMean absolute percentage error6.0E-4
SAESum of the absolute errors0.3446
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Quantumsphere Acquisition. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Quantumsphere Acquisition. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Quantumsphere Acquisition

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Quantumsphere Acquisition. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
9.9310.0010.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.328.3911.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
9.959.9810.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Quantumsphere Acquisition

For every potential investor in Quantumsphere, whether a beginner or expert, Quantumsphere Acquisition's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Quantumsphere Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Quantumsphere. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Quantumsphere Acquisition's price trends.

Quantumsphere Acquisition Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Quantumsphere Acquisition stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Quantumsphere Acquisition could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Quantumsphere Acquisition by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Quantumsphere Acquisition Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Quantumsphere Acquisition's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Quantumsphere Acquisition's current price.

Quantumsphere Acquisition Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Quantumsphere Acquisition stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Quantumsphere Acquisition shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Quantumsphere Acquisition stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Quantumsphere Acquisition entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Quantumsphere Acquisition Risk Indicators

The analysis of Quantumsphere Acquisition's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Quantumsphere Acquisition's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting quantumsphere stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Quantumsphere Stock Analysis

When running Quantumsphere Acquisition's price analysis, check to measure Quantumsphere Acquisition's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Quantumsphere Acquisition is operating at the current time. Most of Quantumsphere Acquisition's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Quantumsphere Acquisition's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Quantumsphere Acquisition's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Quantumsphere Acquisition to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.