VanEck Inflation Etf Forecast - Naive Prediction

RAAX Etf  USD 36.03  0.32  0.90%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Inflation Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 36.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.65. VanEck Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength momentum indicator of VanEck Inflation's share price is below 20 indicating that the etf is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of VanEck Inflation's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with VanEck Inflation Allocation, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using VanEck Inflation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of VanEck Inflation Allocation from the perspective of VanEck Inflation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards VanEck Inflation using VanEck Inflation's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards VanEck using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of VanEck Inflation's stock price.

VanEck Inflation Implied Volatility

    
  0.38  
VanEck Inflation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of VanEck Inflation Allocation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if VanEck Inflation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that VanEck Inflation stock will not fluctuate a lot when VanEck Inflation's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Inflation Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 36.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.65.

VanEck Inflation after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 36.04  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Inflation to cross-verify your projections.

Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 VanEck Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast VanEck Inflation's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in VanEck Inflation's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for VanEck Inflation stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current VanEck Inflation's open interest, investors have to compare it to VanEck Inflation's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of VanEck Inflation is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in VanEck. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

VanEck Inflation Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine VanEck price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for VanEck using various technical indicators. When you analyze VanEck charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for VanEck Inflation is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of VanEck Inflation Allocation value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

VanEck Inflation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 11th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of VanEck Inflation Allocation on the next trading day is expected to be 36.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.24, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.65.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict VanEck Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that VanEck Inflation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

VanEck Inflation Etf Forecast Pattern

Backtest VanEck InflationVanEck Inflation Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

VanEck Inflation Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting VanEck Inflation's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. VanEck Inflation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.56 and 37.17, respectively. We have considered VanEck Inflation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.03
36.36
Expected Value
37.17
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of VanEck Inflation etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent VanEck Inflation etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.6399
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2402
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.007
SAESum of the absolute errors14.6515
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of VanEck Inflation Allocation. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict VanEck Inflation. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for VanEck Inflation

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as VanEck Inflation All. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
35.2436.0436.84
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
34.9035.7036.50
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.5634.9036.24
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as VanEck Inflation. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against VanEck Inflation's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, VanEck Inflation's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in VanEck Inflation All.

Other Forecasting Options for VanEck Inflation

For every potential investor in VanEck, whether a beginner or expert, VanEck Inflation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. VanEck Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in VanEck. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying VanEck Inflation's price trends.

VanEck Inflation Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with VanEck Inflation etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of VanEck Inflation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing VanEck Inflation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

VanEck Inflation All Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of VanEck Inflation's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of VanEck Inflation's current price.

VanEck Inflation Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how VanEck Inflation etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading VanEck Inflation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying VanEck Inflation etf market strength indicators, traders can identify VanEck Inflation Allocation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

VanEck Inflation Risk Indicators

The analysis of VanEck Inflation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in VanEck Inflation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting vaneck etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether VanEck Inflation All offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of VanEck Inflation's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Vaneck Inflation Allocation Etf. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Vaneck Inflation Allocation Etf:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of VanEck Inflation to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
The market value of VanEck Inflation All is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of VanEck that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of VanEck Inflation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is VanEck Inflation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because VanEck Inflation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect VanEck Inflation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between VanEck Inflation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if VanEck Inflation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, VanEck Inflation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.