Reckitt Benckiser Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

RBGPF Stock  USD 83.23  0.81  0.96%   
Reckitt Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Reckitt Benckiser's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Reckitt Benckiser's share price is at 58 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Reckitt Benckiser, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 58

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Reckitt Benckiser's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Reckitt Benckiser and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Reckitt Benckiser's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Reckitt Benckiser Group, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Reckitt Benckiser hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reckitt Benckiser Group from the perspective of Reckitt Benckiser response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Reckitt Benckiser Group on the next trading day is expected to be 83.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.49.

Reckitt Benckiser after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 83.23  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reckitt Benckiser to cross-verify your projections.

Reckitt Benckiser Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Reckitt price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reckitt using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reckitt charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Reckitt Benckiser simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Reckitt Benckiser Group are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Reckitt Benckiser prices get older.

Reckitt Benckiser Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Reckitt Benckiser Group on the next trading day is expected to be 83.23 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.59, mean absolute percentage error of 1.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.49.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Reckitt Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Reckitt Benckiser's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Reckitt Benckiser Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Reckitt Benckiser Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Reckitt Benckiser's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Reckitt Benckiser's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 81.89 and 84.57, respectively. We have considered Reckitt Benckiser's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
83.23
83.23
Expected Value
84.57
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Reckitt Benckiser pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Reckitt Benckiser pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.379
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0705
MADMean absolute deviation0.5915
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0075
SAESum of the absolute errors35.49
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Reckitt Benckiser Group forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Reckitt Benckiser observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Reckitt Benckiser

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reckitt Benckiser. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
81.9083.2384.56
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
73.5974.9291.55
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
79.2381.8884.53
Details

Reckitt Benckiser After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Reckitt Benckiser at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reckitt Benckiser or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Reckitt Benckiser, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Reckitt Benckiser Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Reckitt Benckiser's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reckitt Benckiser's historical news coverage. Reckitt Benckiser's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 81.90 and 84.56, respectively. We have considered Reckitt Benckiser's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
83.23
83.23
After-hype Price
84.56
Upside
Reckitt Benckiser is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reckitt Benckiser is based on 3 months time horizon.

Reckitt Benckiser Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Reckitt Benckiser is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reckitt Benckiser backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reckitt Benckiser, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.34
  0.02 
  0.04 
22 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 22 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
83.23
83.23
0.00 
558.33  
Notes

Reckitt Benckiser Hype Timeline

Reckitt Benckiser is at this time traded for 83.23. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Reckitt is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Reckitt Benckiser is about 341.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 83.27. About 60.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Reckitt Benckiser was at this time reported as 12.48. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.15. Reckitt Benckiser last dividend was issued on the 4th of August 2022. The entity had 1023:1000 split on the 23rd of December 2014. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in about 22 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reckitt Benckiser to cross-verify your projections.

Reckitt Benckiser Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Reckitt Benckiser's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reckitt Benckiser's future price movements. Getting to know how Reckitt Benckiser's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reckitt Benckiser may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
CHDChurch Dwight 0.57 12 per month 1.21  0.01  2.33 (1.92) 10.66 
KCDMYKimberly Clark de Mexico 0.00 0 per month 1.38  0.12  3.06 (2.55) 10.78 
LRLCYLOreal Co ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.06) 1.99 (1.86) 7.86 
SSDOYShiseido Company 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.79 (4.49) 15.84 
SPCOThe Stephan Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.31) 40.29 (81.90) 83.20 
UNLYFUnilever PLC 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 6.87 (6.45) 24.00 
ELEstee Lauder Companies 1.04 10 per month 1.74  0.07  3.89 (3.02) 8.23 
LRLCFLOral SA 0.00 0 per month 2.23 (0.0006) 4.57 (3.59) 9.05 
IPARInter Parfums 1.76 25 per month 2.00 (0.03) 2.62 (3.84) 8.82 
EWCZEuropean Wax Center 0.07 2 per month 3.07  0.04  5.63 (6.16) 20.89 
RBGLYReckitt Benckiser Group 0.00 0 per month 0.73 (0.03) 1.79 (1.34) 4.41 
KMBKimberly Clark 1.27 8 per month 0.00 (0.13) 2.17 (1.59) 17.56 
CLColgate Palmolive 0.46 9 per month 1.17  0.06  1.93 (2.16) 5.16 
PGProcter Gamble 0.76 8 per month 1.12 (0.06) 1.84 (1.56) 5.66 
CLXThe Clorox 0.51 9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.86 (2.49) 7.63 
ULUnilever PLC ADR(0.17)8 per month 0.00 (0.10) 1.89 (1.81) 8.92 

Other Forecasting Options for Reckitt Benckiser

For every potential investor in Reckitt, whether a beginner or expert, Reckitt Benckiser's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Reckitt Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Reckitt. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Reckitt Benckiser's price trends.

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 Risk & Return  Correlation

Reckitt Benckiser Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Reckitt Benckiser pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Reckitt Benckiser shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Reckitt Benckiser pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Reckitt Benckiser Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Reckitt Benckiser Risk Indicators

The analysis of Reckitt Benckiser's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Reckitt Benckiser's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting reckitt pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Reckitt Benckiser

The number of cover stories for Reckitt Benckiser depends on current market conditions and Reckitt Benckiser's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Reckitt Benckiser is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Reckitt Benckiser's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Other Information on Investing in Reckitt Pink Sheet

Reckitt Benckiser financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reckitt Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reckitt with respect to the benefits of owning Reckitt Benckiser security.