Zhen Ding Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

RBTK Stock  USD 12.22  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zhen Ding Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 14.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 178.02. Zhen Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Zhen Ding's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Zhen Ding's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Zhen Ding Resources, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Zhen Ding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Zhen Ding Resources from the perspective of Zhen Ding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zhen Ding Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 14.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.92 and the sum of the absolute errors of 178.02.

Zhen Ding after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 12.22  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zhen Ding to cross-verify your projections.

Zhen Ding Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Zhen price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Zhen using various technical indicators. When you analyze Zhen charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Zhen Ding is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Zhen Ding Resources value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Zhen Ding Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Zhen Ding Resources on the next trading day is expected to be 14.02 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.92, mean absolute percentage error of 22.28, and the sum of the absolute errors of 178.02.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Zhen Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Zhen Ding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Zhen Ding Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Zhen DingZhen Ding Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Zhen Ding Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Zhen Ding's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Zhen Ding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.12 and 79.54, respectively. We have considered Zhen Ding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
12.22
14.02
Expected Value
79.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Zhen Ding pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Zhen Ding pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.2141
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.9183
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.7122
SAESum of the absolute errors178.0193
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Zhen Ding Resources. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Zhen Ding. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Zhen Ding

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Zhen Ding Resources. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Zhen Ding's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.6112.221,234
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.5010.021,232
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
8.6411.8815.13
Details

Zhen Ding After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Zhen Ding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Zhen Ding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Zhen Ding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Zhen Ding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Zhen Ding's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Zhen Ding's historical news coverage. Zhen Ding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.61 and 1,234, respectively. We have considered Zhen Ding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
12.22
12.22
After-hype Price
1,234
Upside
Zhen Ding is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Zhen Ding Resources is based on 3 months time horizon.

Zhen Ding Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Zhen Ding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Zhen Ding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Zhen Ding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  11.83 
65.52
 0.00  
  0.47 
0 Events / Month
5 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
12.22
12.22
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Zhen Ding Hype Timeline

Zhen Ding Resources is at this time traded for 12.22. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.47. Zhen is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 11.83%. %. The volatility of related hype on Zhen Ding is about 163800.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.69. About 54.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.0. Zhen Ding Resources had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:100 split on the 5th of July 2012. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Zhen Ding to cross-verify your projections.

Zhen Ding Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Zhen Ding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Zhen Ding's future price movements. Getting to know how Zhen Ding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Zhen Ding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AIRRFAurion Resources 0.00 0 per month 3.19  0.16  6.48 (5.50) 19.76 
BSXGFBelo Sun Mining 0.06 4 per month 5.12  0.18  14.71 (8.33) 43.08 
CBGZFCabral Gold 0.06 4 per month 3.11  0.11  8.89 (5.13) 18.55 
NCAUFNewcore Gold 0.05 21 per month 3.69  0.02  8.00 (6.52) 17.64 
AUGGAugusta Gold Corp 0.06 20 per month 0.61 (0.11) 1.67 (0.83) 4.11 
XTGRFXtra Gold Resources Corp 0.00 0 per month 2.53  0.03  3.57 (4.37) 15.39 
VRDRVerde Resources 0.05 22 per month 0.00 (0.15) 8.43 (9.44) 25.38 
FFOXFFireFox Gold Corp 0.00 0 per month 4.40  0.02  10.34 (8.89) 25.40 
PAFRYPan African Resources 0.06 8 per month 1.53  0.13  5.57 (3.77) 34.56 
LGCFFLavras Gold Corp 0.06 12 per month 4.42  0.1  12.35 (10.58) 26.78 

Other Forecasting Options for Zhen Ding

For every potential investor in Zhen, whether a beginner or expert, Zhen Ding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Zhen Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Zhen. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Zhen Ding's price trends.

Zhen Ding Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Zhen Ding pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Zhen Ding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Zhen Ding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Zhen Ding Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Zhen Ding pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Zhen Ding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Zhen Ding pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Zhen Ding Resources entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Zhen Ding Risk Indicators

The analysis of Zhen Ding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Zhen Ding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting zhen pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Zhen Ding

The number of cover stories for Zhen Ding depends on current market conditions and Zhen Ding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Zhen Ding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Zhen Ding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios

Zhen Ding Short Properties

Zhen Ding's future price predictability will typically decrease when Zhen Ding's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Zhen Ding Resources often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Zhen Ding's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Zhen Ding's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding110.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments29.8 K

Other Information on Investing in Zhen Pink Sheet

Zhen Ding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Zhen Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Zhen with respect to the benefits of owning Zhen Ding security.