Ready Capital Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| RCB Stock | USD 24.48 0.02 0.08% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ready Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 24.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.45. Ready Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ready Capital stock prices and determine the direction of Ready Capital's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ready Capital's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, The relative strength indicator of Ready Capital's share price is at 57 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Ready Capital, making its price go up or down. Momentum 57
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Ready Capital hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Ready Capital from the perspective of Ready Capital response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ready Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 24.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.45. Ready Capital after-hype prediction price | USD 24.48 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ready Capital to cross-verify your projections. Ready Capital Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Ready price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Ready using various technical indicators. When you analyze Ready charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Ready Capital Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Ready Capital's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2012-09-30 | Previous Quarter 162.9 M | Current Value 192 M | Quarterly Volatility 6.9 B |
Ready Capital Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Ready Capital on the next trading day is expected to be 24.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.06, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 3.45.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ready Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ready Capital's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Ready Capital Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Ready Capital | Ready Capital Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Ready Capital Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Ready Capital's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ready Capital's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 24.31 and 24.95, respectively. We have considered Ready Capital's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ready Capital stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ready Capital stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.8597 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0565 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0023 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 3.4484 |
Predictive Modules for Ready Capital
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ready Capital. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ready Capital's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Ready Capital After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Ready Capital at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Ready Capital or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Ready Capital, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Ready Capital Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Ready Capital's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Ready Capital's historical news coverage. Ready Capital's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 24.16 and 24.80, respectively. We have considered Ready Capital's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Ready Capital is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Ready Capital is based on 3 months time horizon.
Ready Capital Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Ready Capital is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Ready Capital backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Ready Capital, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.32 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 13 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 13 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
24.48 | 24.48 | 0.00 |
|
Ready Capital Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January Ready Capital is traded for 24.48. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Ready is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Ready Capital is about 738.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 24.48. The company last dividend was issued on the 30th of January 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ready Capital to cross-verify your projections.Ready Capital Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Ready Capital's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Ready Capital's future price movements. Getting to know how Ready Capital's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Ready Capital may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TRTX | TPG RE Finance | (0.02) | 8 per month | 0.97 | 0.03 | 2.00 | (1.65) | 6.00 | |
| RWT | Redwood Trust | 0.07 | 5 per month | 1.46 | (0) | 2.99 | (2.72) | 8.72 | |
| WSR | Whitestone REIT | (0.63) | 21 per month | 0.72 | 0.14 | 1.91 | (1.35) | 10.71 | |
| ADAM | New York Mortgage | (0.1) | 10 per month | 1.56 | 0.14 | 3.31 | (1.90) | 9.42 | |
| MITT | AG Mortgage Investment | 0.07 | 10 per month | 0.83 | 0.19 | 2.80 | (1.66) | 10.23 | |
| IVR | Invesco Mortgage Capital | 0.38 | 8 per month | 0.77 | 0.21 | 2.47 | (1.86) | 8.03 | |
| FBRT | Franklin BSP Realty | 0.07 | 6 per month | 1.15 | (0.08) | 2.09 | (1.56) | 5.63 | |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth | (0.30) | 4 per month | 0.76 | 0.13 | 1.74 | (1.57) | 4.98 | |
| KREF | KKR Real Estate | 0.07 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.66 | (2.77) | 6.97 |
Other Forecasting Options for Ready Capital
For every potential investor in Ready, whether a beginner or expert, Ready Capital's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ready Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ready. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ready Capital's price trends.Ready Capital Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Ready Capital stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Ready Capital could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Ready Capital by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Ready Capital Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ready Capital stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ready Capital shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ready Capital stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ready Capital entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 24.48 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 24.48 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.02) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 57.95 |
Ready Capital Risk Indicators
The analysis of Ready Capital's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ready Capital's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ready stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.2334 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.1997 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.31 | |||
| Variance | 0.0961 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.0801 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.0399 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Ready Capital
The number of cover stories for Ready Capital depends on current market conditions and Ready Capital's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Ready Capital is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Ready Capital's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Ready Capital Short Properties
Ready Capital's future price predictability will typically decrease when Ready Capital's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Ready Capital often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Ready Capital's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Ready Capital's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 169.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 143.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ready Capital to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Ready Stock refer to our How to Trade Ready Stock guide.You can also try the ETF Categories module to list of ETF categories grouped based on various criteria, such as the investment strategy or type of investments.
Is Commercial & Residential Mortgage Finance space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ready Capital. If investors know Ready will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ready Capital listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Ready Capital is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ready that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ready Capital's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ready Capital's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ready Capital's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ready Capital's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ready Capital's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ready Capital is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ready Capital's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.