Rogers Communications Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

RCIAF Stock  USD 36.81  1.45  4.10%   
Rogers Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rogers Communications' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 26th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Rogers Communications' share price is approaching 48 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rogers Communications, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 48

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rogers Communications' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Rogers Communications and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Rogers Communications' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rogers Communications, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Rogers Communications hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rogers Communications from the perspective of Rogers Communications response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rogers Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 36.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.07.

Rogers Communications after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.36  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rogers Communications to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Rogers Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in Rogers Communications guide.

Rogers Communications Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rogers price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rogers using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rogers charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Rogers Communications simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Rogers Communications are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Rogers Communications prices get older.

Rogers Communications Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rogers Communications on the next trading day is expected to be 36.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.35, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.07.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rogers Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rogers Communications' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rogers Communications Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Rogers Communications  Rogers Communications Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Rogers Communications Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rogers Communications' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rogers Communications' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.11 and 38.09, respectively. We have considered Rogers Communications' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.81
36.60
Expected Value
38.09
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rogers Communications pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rogers Communications pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria115.216
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0029
MADMean absolute deviation0.2679
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0072
SAESum of the absolute errors16.0715
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Rogers Communications forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Rogers Communications observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Rogers Communications

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rogers Communications. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
33.8735.3636.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
28.9430.4338.90
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.5737.1238.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rogers Communications. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rogers Communications' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rogers Communications' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rogers Communications.

Rogers Communications After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rogers Communications at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rogers Communications or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Rogers Communications, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rogers Communications Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rogers Communications' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rogers Communications' historical news coverage. Rogers Communications' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.87 and 36.85, respectively. We have considered Rogers Communications' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.81
35.36
After-hype Price
36.85
Upside
Rogers Communications is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rogers Communications is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rogers Communications Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rogers Communications is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rogers Communications backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rogers Communications, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.05 
1.49
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.81
35.36
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Rogers Communications Hype Timeline

Rogers Communications is at this time traded for 36.81. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Rogers is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rogers Communications is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 36.81. About 98.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The book value of Rogers Communications was at this time reported as 19.99. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.27. Rogers Communications last dividend was issued on the 9th of March 2023. The entity had 2:1 split on the 27th of December 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rogers Communications to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Rogers Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in Rogers Communications guide.

Rogers Communications Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rogers Communications' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rogers Communications' future price movements. Getting to know how Rogers Communications' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rogers Communications may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
TLKMFTelkom Indonesia Tbk 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  5.56  0.00  27.33 
KKPNYKoninklijke KPN NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.09) 1.80 (1.74) 6.40 
KKPNFKoninklijke KPN NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 3.58 (3.21) 10.94 
AVIVFAdvanced Info Service 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ELMUYElisa Oyj 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 9.41 (8.44) 41.17 
TELNFTelenor ASA 0.00 0 per month 3.48 (0.01) 6.90 (5.90) 31.87 
VDMCYVodacom Group Ltd 0.00 0 per month 1.29  0.12  2.98 (2.46) 6.85 
TELNYTelenor ASA ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.08) 1.76 (1.63) 8.72 
BTGOFBT Group plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.03) 4.09 (5.13) 10.84 
HLTOYHellenic Telecommunications Org 0.00 0 per month 1.13  0.02  2.63 (2.39) 6.81 

Other Forecasting Options for Rogers Communications

For every potential investor in Rogers, whether a beginner or expert, Rogers Communications' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rogers Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rogers. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rogers Communications' price trends.

Rogers Communications Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rogers Communications pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rogers Communications could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rogers Communications by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rogers Communications Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rogers Communications pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rogers Communications shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rogers Communications pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Rogers Communications entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rogers Communications Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rogers Communications' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rogers Communications' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rogers pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Rogers Communications

The number of cover stories for Rogers Communications depends on current market conditions and Rogers Communications' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rogers Communications is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rogers Communications' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Additional Information and Resources on Investing in Rogers Pink Sheet

When determining whether Rogers Communications offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Rogers Communications' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Rogers Communications Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Rogers Communications Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rogers Communications to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Rogers Pink Sheet please use our How to Invest in Rogers Communications guide.
You can also try the Price Exposure Probability module to analyze equity upside and downside potential for a given time horizon across multiple markets.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rogers Communications' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rogers Communications is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rogers Communications' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.