REC Silicon Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

RECSI Stock  NOK 4.41  0.12  2.80%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of REC Silicon ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 5.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.81. REC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for REC Silicon ASA is based on a synthetically constructed REC Silicondaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

REC Silicon 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of REC Silicon ASA on the next trading day is expected to be 5.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.61, mean absolute percentage error of 3.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 65.81.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict REC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that REC Silicon's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

REC Silicon Stock Forecast Pattern

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REC Silicon Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting REC Silicon's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. REC Silicon's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.04 and 13.85, respectively. We have considered REC Silicon's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.41
5.30
Expected Value
13.85
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of REC Silicon stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent REC Silicon stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria82.608
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.9333
MADMean absolute deviation1.605
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.2875
SAESum of the absolute errors65.8065
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. REC Silicon ASA 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for REC Silicon

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REC Silicon ASA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.224.4112.96
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.214.2312.78
Details

Other Forecasting Options for REC Silicon

For every potential investor in REC, whether a beginner or expert, REC Silicon's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. REC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in REC. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying REC Silicon's price trends.

REC Silicon Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with REC Silicon stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of REC Silicon could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing REC Silicon by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

REC Silicon ASA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of REC Silicon's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of REC Silicon's current price.

REC Silicon Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how REC Silicon stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading REC Silicon shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying REC Silicon stock market strength indicators, traders can identify REC Silicon ASA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

REC Silicon Risk Indicators

The analysis of REC Silicon's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in REC Silicon's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rec stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in REC Stock

REC Silicon financial ratios help investors to determine whether REC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in REC with respect to the benefits of owning REC Silicon security.