Reeds, OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| REED Stock | USD 2.38 0.23 8.81% |
Reeds, OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Reeds, stock prices and determine the direction of Reeds Inc's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Reeds,'s historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time, the value of RSI of Reeds,'s share price is approaching 30 indicating that the otc stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Reeds,, making its price go up or down. Momentum 30
Sell Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Reeds, based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Reeds, hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reeds Inc from the perspective of Reeds, response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Reeds Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 2.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31 and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.72. Reeds, after-hype prediction price | USD 2.61 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Reeds, |
Reeds, Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Reeds, price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reeds, using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reeds, charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Reeds, Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Reeds Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 2.38 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.31, mean absolute percentage error of 0.63, and the sum of the absolute errors of 18.72.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Reeds, OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Reeds,'s next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Reeds, OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Reeds, | Reeds, Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Reeds, Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Reeds,'s OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Reeds,'s downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 13.27, respectively. We have considered Reeds,'s daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Reeds, otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Reeds, otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6427 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1577 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3069 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0757 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 18.72 |
Predictive Modules for Reeds,
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reeds Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Reeds,'s price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Reeds, After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Reeds, at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reeds, or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Reeds,, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Reeds, Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Reeds,'s otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reeds,'s historical news coverage. Reeds,'s after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.13 and 13.46, respectively. We have considered Reeds,'s daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Reeds, is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reeds Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Reeds, OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Reeds, is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reeds, backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reeds,, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.88 | 10.89 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.38 | 2.61 | 0.00 |
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Reeds, Hype Timeline
Reeds Inc is at this time traded for 2.38. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Reeds, is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -1.88%. %. The volatility of related hype on Reeds, is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.38. About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.18. Reeds Inc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:50 split on the 27th of January 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reeds, to cross-verify your projections.Reeds, Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Reeds,'s direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reeds,'s future price movements. Getting to know how Reeds,'s peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reeds, may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CVNZF | Comvita Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 309.64 | |
| CWGL | Crimson Wine | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.04 | (1.90) | 7.09 | |
| BUBSF | Bubs Australia Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.74 | |
| UNHLF | Union Medical Healthcare | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CHFHY | China Foods | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SHGXY | Shenguan Holdings Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.95 | 0.03 | 18.18 | (12.00) | 44.33 | |
| NBBTF | Natural Beauty Bio Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 25.49 | |
| GBCMY | Global Bio chem Technology | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SMGLF | San Miguel Brewery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UPCHY | Uni President China Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.79 | 0.08 | 5.70 | (4.91) | 32.91 |
Other Forecasting Options for Reeds,
For every potential investor in Reeds,, whether a beginner or expert, Reeds,'s price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Reeds, OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Reeds,. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Reeds,'s price trends.Reeds, Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Reeds, otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Reeds, could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Reeds, by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Reeds, Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Reeds, otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Reeds, shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Reeds, otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Reeds Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Reeds, Risk Indicators
The analysis of Reeds,'s basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Reeds,'s investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting reeds, otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.73 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.93 | |||
| Variance | 167.3 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Reeds,
The number of cover stories for Reeds, depends on current market conditions and Reeds,'s risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Reeds, is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Reeds,'s long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Reeds, Short Properties
Reeds,'s future price predictability will typically decrease when Reeds,'s long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Reeds Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Reeds,'s investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Reeds,'s indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 49 K |
Other Information on Investing in Reeds, OTC Stock
Reeds, financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reeds, OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reeds, with respect to the benefits of owning Reeds, security.