Red Trail OTC Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| REGXDelisted Stock | USD 3.80 0.00 0.00% |
Red OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the value of rsi of Red Trail's share price is below 20 indicating that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Red Trail based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Red Trail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Red Trail Energy from the perspective of Red Trail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red Trail Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Red Trail after-hype prediction price | USD 3.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Red |
Red Trail Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Red price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Red using various technical indicators. When you analyze Red charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Red Trail Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Red Trail Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 3.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Red OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Red Trail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Red Trail OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Red Trail | Red Trail Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Red Trail otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Red Trail otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 53.3748 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Red Trail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Red Trail Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Red Trail After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Red Trail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Red Trail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Red Trail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Red Trail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Red Trail's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Red Trail's historical news coverage. Red Trail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.80 and 3.80, respectively. We have considered Red Trail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Red Trail is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Red Trail Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Red Trail OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Red Trail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Red Trail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Red Trail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
3.80 | 3.80 | 0.00 |
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Red Trail Hype Timeline
Red Trail Energy is at this time traded for 3.80. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Red is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Red Trail is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.80. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.34. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Red Trail Energy had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census.Red Trail Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Red Trail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Red Trail's future price movements. Getting to know how Red Trail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Red Trail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GFGY | Granite Falls Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.1) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 20.25 | |
| KGEIF | Kolibri Global Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PNWRF | Valeura Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PKDC | Parker Drilling | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| HRCXF | Hurricane Energy Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PSHIF | PetroShale | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 3.70 | (3.57) | 17.14 | |
| RECWF | Reconnaissance Energy Africa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| CETEF | Cathedral Energy Services | 0.45 | 3 per month | 1.80 | (0.04) | 3.13 | (3.54) | 16.98 | |
| ITEEF | I3 Energy Plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BTURF | Bathurst Resources Limited | 0.45 | 6 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Red Trail Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Red Trail otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Red Trail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Red Trail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Red Trail Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Red Trail otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Red Trail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Red Trail otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Red Trail Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Story Coverage note for Red Trail
The number of cover stories for Red Trail depends on current market conditions and Red Trail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Red Trail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Red Trail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Red Trail Short Properties
Red Trail's future price predictability will typically decrease when Red Trail's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Red Trail Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Red Trail's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Red Trail's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 40.1 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -13.7 M | |
| Short Long Term Debt | 18.8 M | |
| Shares Float | 35.3 M |
Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any otc stock could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in census. Note that the Red Trail Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Red Trail's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Other Consideration for investing in Red OTC Stock
If you are still planning to invest in Red Trail Energy check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the Red Trail's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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