Ring Energy Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

REI Stock  USD 1.54  0.06  3.75%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ring Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.72. Ring Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Ring Energy's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
As of now, Ring Energy's Asset Turnover is increasing as compared to previous years. . The Ring Energy's current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to increase to about 205.1 M. The Ring Energy's current Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is estimated to increase to about 167.4 M.
Triple exponential smoothing for Ring Energy - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Ring Energy prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Ring Energy price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Ring Energy.

Ring Energy Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Ring Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 1.53 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Ring Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Ring Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Ring Energy Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Ring EnergyRing Energy Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Ring Energy Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Ring Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Ring Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 4.83, respectively. We have considered Ring Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.54
1.53
Expected Value
4.83
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Ring Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Ring Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0078
MADMean absolute deviation0.0454
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0281
SAESum of the absolute errors2.7219
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Ring Energy observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Ring Energy observations.

Predictive Modules for Ring Energy

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ring Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Ring Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.081.614.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.102.075.31
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
3.193.503.89
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ring Energy

For every potential investor in Ring, whether a beginner or expert, Ring Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Ring Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Ring. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Ring Energy's price trends.

View Ring Energy Related Equities

 Risk & Return  Correlation

Ring Energy Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Ring Energy's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Ring Energy's current price.

Ring Energy Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Ring Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Ring Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Ring Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Ring Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Ring Energy Risk Indicators

The analysis of Ring Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Ring Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting ring stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Ring Energy offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Ring Energy's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Ring Energy Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Ring Energy Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ring Energy to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Ring Stock please use our How to Invest in Ring Energy guide.
You can also try the Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Ring Energy. If investors know Ring will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Ring Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.26)
Earnings Share
0.57
Revenue Per Share
1.853
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.04)
Return On Assets
0.0829
The market value of Ring Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Ring that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Ring Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Ring Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Ring Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Ring Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Ring Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Ring Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Ring Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.