Reinet Investments Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

REINA Stock  EUR 25.60  0.40  1.59%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Reinet Investments SCA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.60. Reinet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Reinet Investments stock prices and determine the direction of Reinet Investments SCA's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Reinet Investments' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Reinet Investments is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Reinet Investments SCA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Reinet Investments Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Reinet Investments SCA on the next trading day is expected to be 25.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.44, mean absolute percentage error of 0.29, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.60.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Reinet Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Reinet Investments' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Reinet Investments Stock Forecast Pattern

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Reinet Investments Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Reinet Investments' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Reinet Investments' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.97 and 28.03, respectively. We have considered Reinet Investments' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
25.60
25.50
Expected Value
28.03
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Reinet Investments stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Reinet Investments stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.8867
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.436
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0174
SAESum of the absolute errors26.5953
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Reinet Investments SCA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Reinet Investments. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Reinet Investments

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reinet Investments SCA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.0725.6028.13
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.8921.4228.16
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.6025.6025.60
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Reinet Investments. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Reinet Investments' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Reinet Investments' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Reinet Investments SCA.

Other Forecasting Options for Reinet Investments

For every potential investor in Reinet, whether a beginner or expert, Reinet Investments' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Reinet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Reinet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Reinet Investments' price trends.

Reinet Investments Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Reinet Investments stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Reinet Investments could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Reinet Investments by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Reinet Investments SCA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Reinet Investments' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Reinet Investments' current price.

Reinet Investments Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Reinet Investments stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Reinet Investments shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Reinet Investments stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Reinet Investments SCA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Reinet Investments Risk Indicators

The analysis of Reinet Investments' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Reinet Investments' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting reinet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

Build portfolios using Macroaxis predefined set of investing ideas. Many of Macroaxis investing ideas can easily outperform a given market. Ideas can also be optimized per your risk profile before portfolio origination is invoked. Macroaxis thematic optimization helps investors identify companies most likely to benefit from changes or shifts in various micro-economic or local macro-level trends. Originating optimal thematic portfolios involves aligning investors' personal views, ideas, and beliefs with their actual investments.
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Other Information on Investing in Reinet Stock

Reinet Investments financial ratios help investors to determine whether Reinet Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Reinet with respect to the benefits of owning Reinet Investments security.