Resideo Technologies Stock Forward View

REZI Stock  USD 34.26  0.61  1.81%   
Resideo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Resideo Technologies' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 3rd of February 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of Resideo Technologies' share price is approaching 42 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Resideo Technologies, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 42

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Resideo Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Resideo Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Resideo Technologies' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.143
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.77
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.5767
EPS Estimate Next Year
2.7933
Wall Street Target Price
45
Using Resideo Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Resideo Technologies from the perspective of Resideo Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Resideo Technologies using Resideo Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Resideo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Resideo Technologies' stock price.

Resideo Technologies Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Resideo Technologies' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Resideo. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Resideo Technologies stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
30.5469
Short Percent
0.0571
Short Ratio
4.29
Shares Short Prior Month
5.6 M
50 Day MA
34.7754

Resideo Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Resideo Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 30.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.17.

Resideo Technologies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Resideo Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Resideo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Resideo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Resideo Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Resideo Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Resideo Technologies.

Resideo Technologies Implied Volatility

    
  0.79  
Resideo Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Resideo Technologies stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Resideo Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Resideo Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Resideo Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Resideo Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 30.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97 and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.17.

Resideo Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 34.26  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Resideo Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Resideo Stock please use our How to Invest in Resideo Technologies guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Resideo contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Resideo Technologies will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0494% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Resideo Technologies trading at USD 34.26, that is roughly USD 0.0169 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Resideo Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Resideo Technologies options at the current volatility level of 0.79%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Resideo Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Resideo Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Resideo Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Resideo Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Resideo Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Resideo Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Resideo Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Resideo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Resideo Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Resideo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Resideo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Resideo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Resideo Technologies Cash Forecast

Predicting cash flow or other financial metrics requires analysts to utilize a variety of statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools help uncover hidden patterns in the Resideo Technologies' financial statements, enabling forecasts of their impact on future stock prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2016-12-31
Previous Quarter
753 M
Current Value
345 M
Quarterly Volatility
217.3 M
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Resideo Technologies is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Resideo Technologies value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Resideo Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Resideo Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 30.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.97, mean absolute percentage error of 1.60, and the sum of the absolute errors of 59.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Resideo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Resideo Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Resideo Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Resideo Technologies  Resideo Technologies Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Resideo Technologies Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Resideo Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Resideo Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.35 and 34.49, respectively. We have considered Resideo Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
34.26
30.42
Expected Value
34.49
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Resideo Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Resideo Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.5797
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.9701
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0284
SAESum of the absolute errors59.1736
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Resideo Technologies. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Resideo Technologies. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Resideo Technologies

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Resideo Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.2334.2638.29
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.6734.7038.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
33.0535.8938.73
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.9545.0049.95
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Resideo Technologies. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Resideo Technologies' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Resideo Technologies' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Resideo Technologies.

Resideo Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Resideo Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Resideo Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Resideo Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Resideo Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Resideo Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Resideo Technologies' historical news coverage. Resideo Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.23 and 38.29, respectively. We have considered Resideo Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
34.26
34.26
After-hype Price
38.29
Upside
Resideo Technologies is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Resideo Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Resideo Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Resideo Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Resideo Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Resideo Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
4.07
  0.04 
  0.02 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
34.26
34.26
0.00 
2,142  
Notes

Resideo Technologies Hype Timeline

Resideo Technologies is at this time traded for 34.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Resideo is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Resideo Technologies is about 3951.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 34.28. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Resideo Technologies was at this time reported as 15.3. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.08. Resideo Technologies recorded a loss per share of 4.54. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Resideo Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Resideo Stock please use our How to Invest in Resideo Technologies guide.

Resideo Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Resideo Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Resideo Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Resideo Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Resideo Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ADTADT Inc(0.06)10 per month 0.00 (0.11) 1.73 (2.31) 9.78 
MSAMSA Safety 2.01 9 per month 1.54  0.07  3.11 (2.04) 11.36 
GATXGATX Corporation 0.05 16 per month 0.75  0.14  1.96 (1.37) 4.89 
LNZALanzaTech Global(0.46)8 per month 0.00 (0.21) 7.81 (9.06) 28.48 
CARAvis Budget Group(1.08)13 per month 0.00 (0.17) 3.62 (4.19) 10.91 
GXOGXO Logistics 2.51 8 per month 1.74  0.02  3.22 (2.93) 9.51 
KBRKBR Inc(0.93)10 per month 1.69 (0.03) 3.22 (2.79) 10.41 
BCOBrinks Company(1.37)10 per month 1.33  0.07  3.11 (2.28) 10.50 
FBINFortune Brands Innovations 1.06 10 per month 1.77  0.02  5.20 (2.91) 10.57 
MOG-AMoog Inc(0.70)19 per month 0.75  0.30  3.81 (1.72) 11.04 

Other Forecasting Options for Resideo Technologies

For every potential investor in Resideo, whether a beginner or expert, Resideo Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Resideo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Resideo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Resideo Technologies' price trends.

Resideo Technologies Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Resideo Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Resideo Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Resideo Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Resideo Technologies Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Resideo Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Resideo Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Resideo Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Resideo Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Resideo Technologies Risk Indicators

The analysis of Resideo Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Resideo Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting resideo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Resideo Technologies

The number of cover stories for Resideo Technologies depends on current market conditions and Resideo Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Resideo Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Resideo Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Resideo Technologies Short Properties

Resideo Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Resideo Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Resideo Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Resideo Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Resideo Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding149 M
Cash And Short Term Investments692 M
When determining whether Resideo Technologies offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Resideo Technologies' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Resideo Technologies Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Resideo Technologies Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Resideo Technologies to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Resideo Stock please use our How to Invest in Resideo Technologies guide.
You can also try the Stock Screener module to find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook..
Is there potential for Building Products market expansion? Will Resideo introduce new products? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Resideo Technologies. Anticipated expansion of Resideo directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. Understanding fair value requires weighing current performance against future potential. All the valuation information about Resideo Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
11.143
Earnings Share
(4.54)
Revenue Per Share
50.152
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.02
Return On Assets
0.0502
The market value of Resideo Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Resideo that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Resideo Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Resideo Technologies' true underlying value. Analysts utilize numerous techniques to assess fundamental value, seeking to purchase shares when trading prices fall beneath estimated intrinsic worth. Because Resideo Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Resideo Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Resideo Technologies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Resideo Technologies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Resideo Technologies' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.