REDFLEX HOLDINGS Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

RFLXF Stock  USD 0.03  0.0001  0.35%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of REDFLEX HOLDINGS LTD on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28. REDFLEX Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of REDFLEX HOLDINGS's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
REDFLEX HOLDINGS simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for REDFLEX HOLDINGS LTD are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as REDFLEX HOLDINGS LTD prices get older.

REDFLEX HOLDINGS Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of REDFLEX HOLDINGS LTD on the next trading day is expected to be 0.03 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000035, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict REDFLEX Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that REDFLEX HOLDINGS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

REDFLEX HOLDINGS Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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REDFLEX HOLDINGS Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting REDFLEX HOLDINGS's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. REDFLEX HOLDINGS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0003 and 22.22, respectively. We have considered REDFLEX HOLDINGS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.03
0.0003
Downside
0.03
Expected Value
22.22
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of REDFLEX HOLDINGS pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent REDFLEX HOLDINGS pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria106.0221
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.0E-4
MADMean absolute deviation0.0047
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.1483
SAESum of the absolute errors0.2812
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting REDFLEX HOLDINGS LTD forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent REDFLEX HOLDINGS observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for REDFLEX HOLDINGS

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as REDFLEX HOLDINGS LTD. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of REDFLEX HOLDINGS's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.000.0322.22
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.000.0322.22
Details

Other Forecasting Options for REDFLEX HOLDINGS

For every potential investor in REDFLEX, whether a beginner or expert, REDFLEX HOLDINGS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. REDFLEX Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in REDFLEX. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying REDFLEX HOLDINGS's price trends.

REDFLEX HOLDINGS Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with REDFLEX HOLDINGS pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of REDFLEX HOLDINGS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing REDFLEX HOLDINGS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

REDFLEX HOLDINGS LTD Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of REDFLEX HOLDINGS's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of REDFLEX HOLDINGS's current price.

REDFLEX HOLDINGS Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how REDFLEX HOLDINGS pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading REDFLEX HOLDINGS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying REDFLEX HOLDINGS pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify REDFLEX HOLDINGS LTD entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

REDFLEX HOLDINGS Risk Indicators

The analysis of REDFLEX HOLDINGS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in REDFLEX HOLDINGS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting redflex pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in REDFLEX Pink Sheet

REDFLEX HOLDINGS financial ratios help investors to determine whether REDFLEX Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in REDFLEX with respect to the benefits of owning REDFLEX HOLDINGS security.