RiverNorth Flexible Etf Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RFMZ Etf | USD 12.90 0.01 0.08% |
RiverNorth Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of RiverNorth Flexible's share price is at 54 indicating that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling RiverNorth Flexible, making its price go up or down. Momentum 54
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using RiverNorth Flexible hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome from the perspective of RiverNorth Flexible response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome on the next trading day is expected to be 12.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.95. RiverNorth Flexible after-hype prediction price | USD 12.9 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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RiverNorth Flexible Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine RiverNorth price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for RiverNorth using various technical indicators. When you analyze RiverNorth charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
RiverNorth Flexible Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome on the next trading day is expected to be 12.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.05, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.95.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RiverNorth Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RiverNorth Flexible's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
RiverNorth Flexible Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest RiverNorth Flexible | RiverNorth Flexible Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
RiverNorth Flexible Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting RiverNorth Flexible's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RiverNorth Flexible's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 12.38 and 13.42, respectively. We have considered RiverNorth Flexible's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RiverNorth Flexible etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RiverNorth Flexible etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 110.8339 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0032 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0492 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0039 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 2.95 |
Predictive Modules for RiverNorth Flexible
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RiverNorth Flexible. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.RiverNorth Flexible After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of RiverNorth Flexible at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in RiverNorth Flexible or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of RiverNorth Flexible, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
RiverNorth Flexible Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting RiverNorth Flexible's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on RiverNorth Flexible's historical news coverage. RiverNorth Flexible's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 12.39 and 13.41, respectively. We have considered RiverNorth Flexible's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
RiverNorth Flexible is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of RiverNorth Flexible is based on 3 months time horizon.
RiverNorth Flexible Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as RiverNorth Flexible is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading RiverNorth Flexible backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with RiverNorth Flexible, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 0.52 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 3 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
12.90 | 12.90 | 0.00 |
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RiverNorth Flexible Hype Timeline
RiverNorth Flexible is at this time traded for 12.90. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. RiverNorth is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on RiverNorth Flexible is about 5200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 12.90. About 26.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 0.93. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. RiverNorth Flexible recorded a loss per share of 0.59. The entity last dividend was issued on the 15th of January 2026. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RiverNorth Flexible to cross-verify your projections.RiverNorth Flexible Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to RiverNorth Flexible's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict RiverNorth Flexible's future price movements. Getting to know how RiverNorth Flexible's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how RiverNorth Flexible may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BFZ | BlackRock California Municipal | (0.03) | 7 per month | 0.24 | (0.14) | 0.73 | (0.56) | 1.57 | |
| ARTZX | Artisan Emerging Markets | 0.07 | 4 per month | 0.44 | 0.10 | 1.53 | (1.05) | 2.96 | |
| RMM | RiverNorth Managed Duration | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.45 | (0.10) | 0.88 | (0.72) | 2.89 | |
| ARTLX | Artisan Value Fund | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.29 | 0.11 | 1.45 | (1.27) | 17.22 | |
| STITX | Ridgeworth International Equity | (0.02) | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 0.93 | (0.93) | 3.20 | |
| ZTR | Virtus Global Dividend | (0.08) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.95 | (1.07) | 2.36 | |
| FINS | Angel Oak Financial | 0.03 | 7 per month | 0.44 | (0.03) | 0.87 | (0.85) | 2.94 | |
| PRJPX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.65 | 0.14 | 1.73 | (1.86) | 15.28 | |
| PRCPX | T Rowe Price | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 0.25 | (0.25) | 0.88 | |
| CPZ | Calamos LongShort Equity | 0.17 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 0.75 | (0.82) | 2.38 |
Other Forecasting Options for RiverNorth Flexible
For every potential investor in RiverNorth, whether a beginner or expert, RiverNorth Flexible's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RiverNorth Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RiverNorth. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RiverNorth Flexible's price trends.RiverNorth Flexible Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RiverNorth Flexible etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RiverNorth Flexible could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RiverNorth Flexible by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
RiverNorth Flexible Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RiverNorth Flexible etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RiverNorth Flexible shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RiverNorth Flexible etf market strength indicators, traders can identify RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
RiverNorth Flexible Risk Indicators
The analysis of RiverNorth Flexible's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in RiverNorth Flexible's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rivernorth etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3959 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.4259 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.5263 | |||
| Variance | 0.277 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.2726 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.1814 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.48) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for RiverNorth Flexible
The number of cover stories for RiverNorth Flexible depends on current market conditions and RiverNorth Flexible's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that RiverNorth Flexible is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about RiverNorth Flexible's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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RiverNorth Flexible Short Properties
RiverNorth Flexible's future price predictability will typically decrease when RiverNorth Flexible's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of RiverNorth Flexible Municipalome often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential RiverNorth Flexible's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. RiverNorth Flexible's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24 M | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 1.01 |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of RiverNorth Flexible to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.
The market value of RiverNorth Flexible is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of RiverNorth that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of RiverNorth Flexible's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is RiverNorth Flexible's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because RiverNorth Flexible's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect RiverNorth Flexible's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between RiverNorth Flexible's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if RiverNorth Flexible is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, RiverNorth Flexible's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.