Reliant Financl Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| RFNS Stock | USD 0.0001 0.00 0.000003% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Reliant Financl Svc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Reliant Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Reliant Financl's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Reliant Financl hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reliant Financl Svc from the perspective of Reliant Financl response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Reliant Financl Svc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Reliant Financl after-hype prediction price | USD 1.0E-4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reliant Financl to cross-verify your projections. Reliant Financl Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Reliant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reliant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reliant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Reliant Financl's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 223 K | Current Value 198.2 K | Quarterly Volatility 13.1 K |
Reliant Financl Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Reliant Financl Svc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.0001 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Reliant Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Reliant Financl's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Reliant Financl Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Reliant Financl | Reliant Financl Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Reliant Financl Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Reliant Financl's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Reliant Financl's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0001 and 0.0001, respectively. We have considered Reliant Financl's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Reliant Financl stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Reliant Financl stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 61.4946 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0 |
Predictive Modules for Reliant Financl
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reliant Financl Svc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Reliant Financl After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Reliant Financl at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reliant Financl or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Reliant Financl, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Reliant Financl Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Reliant Financl's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reliant Financl's historical news coverage. Reliant Financl's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 0.00, respectively. We have considered Reliant Financl's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Reliant Financl is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reliant Financl Svc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Reliant Financl Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Reliant Financl is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reliant Financl backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reliant Financl, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.0001 | 0.0001 | 0.00 |
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Reliant Financl Hype Timeline
Reliant Financl Svc is at this time traded for 0.0001. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Reliant is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Reliant Financl is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.02. Reliant Financl Svc had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:22 split on the 16th of March 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reliant Financl to cross-verify your projections.Reliant Financl Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Reliant Financl's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reliant Financl's future price movements. Getting to know how Reliant Financl's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reliant Financl may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STXMF | Starrex International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BWMY | BorrowMoney | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| IGOT | Fomo Worldwide | 0.00 | 0 per month | 32.58 | 0.25 | 1,400 | (93.33) | 2,496 | |
| WRGL | Warrior Girl Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 133.33 | |
| ICNM | Icon Media Holdings | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 100.00 | |
| RPFG | Rainier Pacific Financial | 0.05 | 10 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PWEI | PacWest Equities | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| TEXG | Terax Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.11 | |
| LTGJ | Xiamen Lutong International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| EGOC | Energy 1 Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 23.27 | 0.21 | 300.00 | (64.29) | 867.07 |
Other Forecasting Options for Reliant Financl
For every potential investor in Reliant, whether a beginner or expert, Reliant Financl's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Reliant Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Reliant. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Reliant Financl's price trends.Reliant Financl Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Reliant Financl stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Reliant Financl could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Reliant Financl by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Reliant Financl Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Reliant Financl stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Reliant Financl shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Reliant Financl stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Reliant Financl Svc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 1.0E-4 |
Story Coverage note for Reliant Financl
The number of cover stories for Reliant Financl depends on current market conditions and Reliant Financl's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Reliant Financl is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Reliant Financl's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Reliant Stock Analysis
When running Reliant Financl's price analysis, check to measure Reliant Financl's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Reliant Financl is operating at the current time. Most of Reliant Financl's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Reliant Financl's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Reliant Financl's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Reliant Financl to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.