RTL Group Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

RGLXF Stock  USD 42.88  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of RTL Group SA on the next trading day is expected to be 42.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. RTL Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of RTL Group's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for RTL Group is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of RTL Group SA value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

RTL Group Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of RTL Group SA on the next trading day is expected to be 42.88 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RTL Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that RTL Group's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

RTL Group Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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RTL Group Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting RTL Group's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. RTL Group's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 42.88 and 42.88, respectively. We have considered RTL Group's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
42.88
42.88
Expected Value
42.88
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of RTL Group pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent RTL Group pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria58.5258
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of RTL Group SA. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict RTL Group. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for RTL Group

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as RTL Group SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of RTL Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
42.8842.8842.88
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
42.8842.8842.88
Details

Other Forecasting Options for RTL Group

For every potential investor in RTL, whether a beginner or expert, RTL Group's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RTL Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RTL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying RTL Group's price trends.

RTL Group Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with RTL Group pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of RTL Group could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing RTL Group by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

RTL Group SA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of RTL Group's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of RTL Group's current price.

RTL Group Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how RTL Group pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading RTL Group shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying RTL Group pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify RTL Group SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in RTL Pink Sheet

RTL Group financial ratios help investors to determine whether RTL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RTL with respect to the benefits of owning RTL Group security.