Regional Health Preferred Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RHE-PA Preferred Stock  USD 0.35  0.03  7.89%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Regional Health Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.59. Regional Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Regional Health stock prices and determine the direction of Regional Health Properties's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Regional Health's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A naive forecasting model for Regional Health is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Regional Health Properties value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Regional Health Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Regional Health Properties on the next trading day is expected to be 0.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.04, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2.59.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Regional Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Regional Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Regional Health Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

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Regional Health Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Regional Health's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Regional Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 15.21, respectively. We have considered Regional Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.35
0.33
Expected Value
15.21
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Regional Health preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Regional Health preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.3175
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0424
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0906
SAESum of the absolute errors2.5858
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Regional Health Properties. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Regional Health. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Regional Health

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Regional Health Prop. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.020.3515.31
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.3415.30
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Regional Health

For every potential investor in Regional, whether a beginner or expert, Regional Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Regional Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Regional. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Regional Health's price trends.

Regional Health Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Regional Health preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Regional Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Regional Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Regional Health Prop Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Regional Health's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Regional Health's current price.

Regional Health Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Regional Health preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Regional Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Regional Health preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Regional Health Properties entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Regional Health Risk Indicators

The analysis of Regional Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Regional Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting regional preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Regional Preferred Stock

Regional Health financial ratios help investors to determine whether Regional Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Regional with respect to the benefits of owning Regional Health security.