Roche Holding OTC Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| RHHBF Stock | USD 500.01 20.01 4.17% |
Roche OTC Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Roche Holding's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 13th of February 2026 the value of rsi of Roche Holding's share price is below 20 indicating that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate signals. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Roche Holding based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Roche Holding hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Roche Holding AG from the perspective of Roche Holding response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Roche Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 490.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.04 and the sum of the absolute errors of 651.60. Roche Holding after-hype prediction price | USD 500.01 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Roche |
Roche Holding Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Roche price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Roche using various technical indicators. When you analyze Roche charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Roche Holding Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Roche Holding AG on the next trading day is expected to be 490.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 11.04, mean absolute percentage error of 240.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 651.60.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roche OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roche Holding's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Roche Holding OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Roche Holding | Roche Holding Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Roche Holding Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Roche Holding's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roche Holding's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 486.53 and 493.48, respectively. We have considered Roche Holding's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roche Holding otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roche Holding otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.9174 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -2.5171 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 11.0441 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0255 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 651.6 |
Predictive Modules for Roche Holding
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roche Holding AG. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Roche Holding After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Roche Holding at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Roche Holding or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Roche Holding, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Roche Holding Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Roche Holding's otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Roche Holding's historical news coverage. Roche Holding's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 496.53 and 503.49, respectively. We have considered Roche Holding's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Roche Holding is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Roche Holding AG is based on 3 months time horizon.
Roche Holding OTC Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Roche Holding is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Roche Holding backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Roche Holding, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.52 | 3.48 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
500.01 | 500.01 | 0.00 |
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Roche Holding Hype Timeline
Roche Holding AG is at this time traded for 500.01. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Roche is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.52%. %. The volatility of related hype on Roche Holding is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 500.01. About 75.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 19.18. Roche Holding AG last dividend was issued on the 16th of March 2023. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roche Holding to cross-verify your projections.Roche Holding Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Roche Holding's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Roche Holding's future price movements. Getting to know how Roche Holding's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Roche Holding may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| AZNCF | AstraZeneca PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.80 | 0.11 | 5.04 | (2.96) | 10.86 | |
| NVSEF | Novartis AG | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.13 | 5.21 | (4.67) | 15.54 | |
| SNYNF | Sanofi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.87 | (3.43) | 8.58 | |
| NONOF | Novo Nordisk AS | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.88 | 0.03 | 7.09 | (5.56) | 27.29 | |
| SRTOY | Sartorius Stedim Biotech | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 4.82 | (4.92) | 17.99 | |
| CHGCF | Chugai Pharmaceutical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.48 | 0.12 | 7.70 | (4.75) | 18.43 | |
| GLAXF | GSK plc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.46 | 0.14 | 6.42 | (4.38) | 15.65 | |
| CHGCY | Chugai Pharmaceutical Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.65 | 0.13 | 4.29 | (3.02) | 7.99 | |
| DSKYF | Daiichi Sankyo | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.69 | (6.38) | 16.02 | |
| DSNKY | Daiichi Sankyo Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.56 | (3.95) | 12.16 |
Other Forecasting Options for Roche Holding
For every potential investor in Roche, whether a beginner or expert, Roche Holding's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roche OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roche. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roche Holding's price trends.Roche Holding Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roche Holding otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roche Holding could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roche Holding by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Roche Holding Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roche Holding otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roche Holding shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roche Holding otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Roche Holding AG entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Roche Holding Risk Indicators
The analysis of Roche Holding's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roche Holding's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roche otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.36 | |||
| Variance | 11.32 | |||
| Downside Variance | 11.5 | |||
| Semi Variance | 4.87 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.44) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Roche Holding
The number of cover stories for Roche Holding depends on current market conditions and Roche Holding's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Roche Holding is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Roche Holding's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Roche OTC Stock
Roche Holding financial ratios help investors to determine whether Roche OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Roche with respect to the benefits of owning Roche Holding security.