Resolute Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| RHLD Stock | 190.93 13.28 6.50% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Resolute Holdings Management on the next trading day is expected to be 206.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 625.05. Resolute Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Resolute Holdings stock prices and determine the direction of Resolute Holdings Management's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Resolute Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Resolute Holdings' share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.128 |
Using Resolute Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Resolute Holdings Management from the perspective of Resolute Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Resolute Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Resolute Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Resolute. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Resolute can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Resolute Holdings Management. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Resolute Holdings Management on the next trading day is expected to be 206.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.08 and the sum of the absolute errors of 625.05.
Resolute Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 193.8 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Resolute Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Resolute Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Resolute price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Resolute using various technical indicators. When you analyze Resolute charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Overlap Studies | ||
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Resolute Holdings Cash Forecast
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Resolute Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 88.2 K | Current Value 83.8 K | Quarterly Volatility 8.3 M |
Resolute Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Resolute Holdings Management on the next trading day is expected to be 206.41 with a mean absolute deviation of 10.08, mean absolute percentage error of 167.97, and the sum of the absolute errors of 625.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Resolute Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Resolute Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Resolute Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Resolute Holdings | Resolute Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Resolute Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Resolute Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Resolute Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 193.24 and 219.57, respectively. We have considered Resolute Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Resolute Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Resolute Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 125.0722 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 10.0814 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0687 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 625.0476 |
Predictive Modules for Resolute Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Resolute Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Resolute Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Resolute Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Resolute Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Resolute Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Resolute Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Resolute Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Resolute Holdings' historical news coverage. Resolute Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 180.64 and 206.96, respectively. We have considered Resolute Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Resolute Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Resolute Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Resolute Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Resolute Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Resolute Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Resolute Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.11 | 13.16 | 2.87 | 3.98 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
190.93 | 193.80 | 1.50 |
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Resolute Holdings Hype Timeline
Resolute Holdings is at this time traded for 190.93. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 2.87, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -3.98. Resolute is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 193.8 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 1.5%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.11%. The volatility of related hype on Resolute Holdings is about 697.03%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 186.95. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 420.57 M. Net Income was 110.26 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 247.21 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Resolute Holdings to cross-verify your projections.Resolute Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Resolute Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Resolute Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Resolute Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Resolute Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BV | BrightView Holdings | (7.48) | 4 per month | 1.39 | (0.04) | 3.02 | (2.87) | 5.48 | |
| CRAI | CRA International | (10.52) | 2 per month | 1.64 | 0.08 | 3.15 | (3.01) | 9.24 | |
| EVLV | Evolv Technologies Holdings | 0.16 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 4.95 | (6.01) | 15.16 | |
| PRSU | Pursuit Attractions and | 0.02 | 10 per month | 2.69 | (0.03) | 3.74 | (3.84) | 16.61 | |
| HSII | Heidrick Struggles International | 0.06 | 8 per month | 0.30 | 0.08 | 0.90 | (1.41) | 19.72 | |
| CCEC | Capital Clean Energy | (0.31) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.21 | (3.83) | 8.72 | |
| EVEX | Eve Holding | 0.27 | 6 per month | 3.08 | (0.01) | 5.46 | (5.43) | 19.07 | |
| DSGR | Distribution Solutions Group | 0.08 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 2.77 | (3.22) | 8.79 | |
| LNN | Lindsay | 0.84 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.78 | (4.31) | 8.40 | |
| EOSE | Eos Energy Enterprises | (2.00) | 8 per month | 5.53 | 0.05 | 11.94 | (9.57) | 31.35 |
Other Forecasting Options for Resolute Holdings
For every potential investor in Resolute, whether a beginner or expert, Resolute Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Resolute Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Resolute. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Resolute Holdings' price trends.Resolute Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Resolute Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Resolute Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Resolute Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Resolute Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Resolute Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Resolute Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Resolute Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Resolute Holdings Management entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 12536.42 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.90) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 197.7 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 195.44 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 1.0E-4 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (13.41) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (13.28) |
Resolute Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of Resolute Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Resolute Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting resolute stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.94 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.82 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 12.69 | |||
| Variance | 161.11 | |||
| Downside Variance | 27.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 14.61 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (5.52) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Resolute Holdings
The number of cover stories for Resolute Holdings depends on current market conditions and Resolute Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Resolute Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Resolute Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Resolute Holdings Short Properties
Resolute Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Resolute Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Resolute Holdings Management often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Resolute Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Resolute Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 98 K |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Resolute Holdings to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Is Research & Consulting Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Resolute Holdings. If investors know Resolute will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Resolute Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Resolute Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Resolute that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Resolute Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Resolute Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Resolute Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Resolute Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Resolute Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Resolute Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Resolute Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.