Starboard Investment Etf Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RHRX Etf | USD 18.82 0.00 0.00% |
Starboard Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of Starboard Investment's share price is at 53 indicating that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Starboard Investment, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Starboard Investment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Starboard Investment Trust from the perspective of Starboard Investment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Starboard Investment Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 18.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12 and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.24. Starboard Investment after-hype prediction price | USD 18.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Starboard Investment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Starboard price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Starboard using various technical indicators. When you analyze Starboard charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Starboard Investment Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 1st of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Starboard Investment Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 18.82 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.12, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 7.24.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Starboard Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Starboard Investment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Starboard Investment Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Starboard Investment | Starboard Investment Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Starboard Investment Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Starboard Investment's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Starboard Investment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 17.96 and 19.68, respectively. We have considered Starboard Investment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Starboard Investment etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Starboard Investment etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.3839 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0028 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1186 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0065 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 7.236 |
Predictive Modules for Starboard Investment
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Starboard Investment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Starboard Investment After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Starboard Investment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Starboard Investment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of Starboard Investment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Starboard Investment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Starboard Investment's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Starboard Investment's historical news coverage. Starboard Investment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.14 and 19.84, respectively. We have considered Starboard Investment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Starboard Investment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Starboard Investment is based on 3 months time horizon.
Starboard Investment Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as Starboard Investment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Starboard Investment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Starboard Investment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 0.86 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
18.82 | 18.99 | 0.00 |
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Starboard Investment Hype Timeline
Starboard Investment is at this time traded for 18.82. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Starboard is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on Starboard Investment is about 17200.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 18.82. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Starboard Investment to cross-verify your projections.Starboard Investment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Starboard Investment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Starboard Investment's future price movements. Getting to know how Starboard Investment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Starboard Investment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| XTJL | Innovator Equity Accelerated | (0.12) | 13 per month | 0.32 | (0.03) | 0.59 | (0.63) | 2.16 | |
| UCC | ProShares Ultra Consumer | (0.11) | 7 per month | 2.33 | 0 | 3.46 | (4.27) | 10.45 | |
| XTJA | Innovator ETFs Trust | 0.04 | 3 per month | 0.26 | (0.05) | 0.50 | (0.32) | 2.34 | |
| RAYJ | The Advisors Inner | (0.05) | 2 per month | 1.48 | 0.02 | 2.60 | (2.20) | 7.83 | |
| TSPY | TappAlpha SPY Growth | (0.06) | 2 per month | 0.70 | (0.01) | 1.21 | (1.16) | 3.77 | |
| LST | Managed Portfolio Series | 0.01 | 1 per month | 0.65 | 0.06 | 1.33 | (1.11) | 3.66 | |
| FMKT | Tidal ETF Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 1.79 | (2.31) | 4.88 | |
| MARZ | TrueShares Structured Outcome | 0.14 | 3 per month | 0.65 | (0.05) | 1.03 | (1.16) | 3.23 | |
| ALIL | Argent Focused Small | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.99 | (0) | 1.97 | (1.58) | 4.44 | |
| QNXT | iShares Nasdaq 100 ex | 0.09 | 1 per month | 0.90 | (0.07) | 1.42 | (1.55) | 3.46 |
Other Forecasting Options for Starboard Investment
For every potential investor in Starboard, whether a beginner or expert, Starboard Investment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Starboard Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Starboard. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Starboard Investment's price trends.Starboard Investment Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Starboard Investment etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Starboard Investment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Starboard Investment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Starboard Investment Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Starboard Investment etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Starboard Investment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Starboard Investment etf market strength indicators, traders can identify Starboard Investment Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 0.01 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 18.92 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 18.88 | |||
| Market Facilitation Index | 0.19 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.1) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 53.62 |
Starboard Investment Risk Indicators
The analysis of Starboard Investment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Starboard Investment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting starboard etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6436 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8334 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8427 | |||
| Variance | 0.7102 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8044 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6945 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.66) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Starboard Investment
The number of cover stories for Starboard Investment depends on current market conditions and Starboard Investment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Starboard Investment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Starboard Investment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Starboard Investment to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Understanding Starboard Investment requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Starboard's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Starboard Investment's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Starboard Investment's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Starboard Investment's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Starboard Investment should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Starboard Investment's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.