Rio Tinto Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RIO1 Stock | EUR 70.67 1.68 2.44% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rio Tinto Group on the next trading day is expected to be 70.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.93. Rio Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rio Tinto's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Rio Tinto's stock price is roughly 64 indicating that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of 6th of January 2026. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rio, making its price go up or down. Momentum 64
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Rio Tinto hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rio Tinto Group from the perspective of Rio Tinto response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rio Tinto Group on the next trading day is expected to be 70.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69 and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.93. Rio Tinto after-hype prediction price | EUR 70.67 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Rio |
Rio Tinto Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rio price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rio using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rio charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rio Tinto Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 7th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rio Tinto Group on the next trading day is expected to be 70.63 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.69, mean absolute percentage error of 0.72, and the sum of the absolute errors of 41.93.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rio Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rio Tinto's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rio Tinto Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rio Tinto | Rio Tinto Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rio Tinto stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rio Tinto stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.7828 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2467 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6874 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0111 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 41.9304 |
Predictive Modules for Rio Tinto
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rio Tinto Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rio Tinto Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rio Tinto stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rio Tinto could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rio Tinto by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rio Tinto Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rio Tinto stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rio Tinto shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rio Tinto stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rio Tinto Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Rio Tinto Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rio Tinto's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rio Tinto's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rio stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.02 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.1 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.34 | |||
| Variance | 1.79 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.21 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.13) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
Other Information on Investing in Rio Stock
Rio Tinto financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rio Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rio with respect to the benefits of owning Rio Tinto security.