Optiva Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| RKNEF Stock | USD 0.18 0.00 0.00% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Optiva Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49. Optiva Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Optiva's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Optiva's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Optiva hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Optiva Inc from the perspective of Optiva response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Optiva Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49. Optiva after-hype prediction price | USD 0.18 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Optiva |
Optiva Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Optiva price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Optiva using various technical indicators. When you analyze Optiva charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Optiva Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Optiva Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0001, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Optiva Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Optiva's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Optiva Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Optiva | Optiva Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Optiva pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Optiva pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 109.2729 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0081 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0576 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.4937 |
Predictive Modules for Optiva
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Optiva Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Optiva's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Optiva After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Optiva at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Optiva or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Optiva, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Optiva Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Optiva's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Optiva's historical news coverage. Optiva's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.01 and 11.10, respectively. We have considered Optiva's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Optiva is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Optiva Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Optiva Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Optiva is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Optiva backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Optiva, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.49 | 10.92 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.18 | 0.18 | 0.00 |
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Optiva Hype Timeline
Optiva Inc is at this time traded for 0.18. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Optiva is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.49%. %. The volatility of related hype on Optiva is about 2022222.22%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.18. About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company last dividend was issued on the 5th of April 2018. Optiva Inc had 1:50 split on the 5th of April 2018. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out Your Equity Center to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in american community survey.Optiva Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Optiva's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Optiva's future price movements. Getting to know how Optiva's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Optiva may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TONR | TonnerOne World Holdings | 0.01 | 3 per month | 24.59 | 0.17 | 100.00 | (50.00) | 150.00 | |
| ITNF | Internet Infinity | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 22.33 | |
| MYSL | My Screen Mobile | 0.00 | 3 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| NAHD | New Asia Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.06 | |
| APTY | APT Systems | 0.01 | 2 per month | 11.81 | 0.05 | 33.33 | (25.00) | 58.33 | |
| TFLM | TFLM | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 6.25 | |
| ENETF | Ethernity Networks | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 17,597 | |
| SBIG | SpringBig Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 19.05 | (20.00) | 57.50 | |
| PRPM | Protek Capital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| UBIA | UBI Blockchain Internet | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Optiva Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Optiva pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Optiva could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Optiva by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Optiva Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Optiva pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Optiva shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Optiva pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Optiva Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Optiva Risk Indicators
The analysis of Optiva's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Optiva's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting optiva pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 9.29 | |||
| Variance | 86.3 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Optiva
The number of cover stories for Optiva depends on current market conditions and Optiva's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Optiva is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Optiva's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Optiva Pink Sheet
Optiva financial ratios help investors to determine whether Optiva Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Optiva with respect to the benefits of owning Optiva security.