Optiva Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

RKNEF Stock  USD 4.50  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Optiva Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 4.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00. Optiva Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Optiva's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Optiva simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Optiva Inc are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Optiva Inc prices get older.

Optiva Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Optiva Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 4.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.00, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.00.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Optiva Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Optiva's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Optiva Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Optiva Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Optiva's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Optiva's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.50 and 4.50, respectively. We have considered Optiva's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.50
4.50
Expected Value
4.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Optiva pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Optiva pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria-9.223372036854776E14
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Optiva Inc forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Optiva observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Optiva

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Optiva Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Optiva's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.504.504.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.504.504.50
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Optiva

For every potential investor in Optiva, whether a beginner or expert, Optiva's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Optiva Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Optiva. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Optiva's price trends.

Optiva Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Optiva pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Optiva could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Optiva by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Optiva Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Optiva's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Optiva's current price.

Optiva Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Optiva pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Optiva shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Optiva pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Optiva Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

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Other Information on Investing in Optiva Pink Sheet

Optiva financial ratios help investors to determine whether Optiva Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Optiva with respect to the benefits of owning Optiva security.