ROCKWOOL International Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

RKWBF Stock  USD 32.50  0.00  0.00%   
ROCKWOOL Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of ROCKWOOL International's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, the relative strength index (RSI) of ROCKWOOL International's share price is approaching 38 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ROCKWOOL International, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 38

 Sell Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of ROCKWOOL International's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of ROCKWOOL International and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from ROCKWOOL International's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with ROCKWOOL International AS, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using ROCKWOOL International hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ROCKWOOL International AS from the perspective of ROCKWOOL International response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ROCKWOOL International AS on the next trading day is expected to be 32.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.98.

ROCKWOOL International after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 32.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ROCKWOOL International to cross-verify your projections.

ROCKWOOL International Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine ROCKWOOL price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ROCKWOOL using various technical indicators. When you analyze ROCKWOOL charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for ROCKWOOL International is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of ROCKWOOL International AS value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

ROCKWOOL International Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ROCKWOOL International AS on the next trading day is expected to be 32.92 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.98.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ROCKWOOL Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ROCKWOOL International's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

ROCKWOOL International Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest ROCKWOOL International  ROCKWOOL International Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

ROCKWOOL International Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting ROCKWOOL International's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ROCKWOOL International's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 31.06 and 34.78, respectively. We have considered ROCKWOOL International's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
32.50
32.92
Expected Value
34.78
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ROCKWOOL International pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ROCKWOOL International pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.2204
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.3868
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0117
SAESum of the absolute errors23.9827
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of ROCKWOOL International AS. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict ROCKWOOL International. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for ROCKWOOL International

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ROCKWOOL International. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
30.6432.5034.36
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.9832.8434.70
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
32.3032.7233.14
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as ROCKWOOL International. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against ROCKWOOL International's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, ROCKWOOL International's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in ROCKWOOL International.

ROCKWOOL International After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of ROCKWOOL International at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ROCKWOOL International or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of ROCKWOOL International, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

ROCKWOOL International Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting ROCKWOOL International's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ROCKWOOL International's historical news coverage. ROCKWOOL International's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 30.64 and 34.36, respectively. We have considered ROCKWOOL International's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
32.50
32.50
After-hype Price
34.36
Upside
ROCKWOOL International is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ROCKWOOL International is based on 3 months time horizon.

ROCKWOOL International Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ROCKWOOL International is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ROCKWOOL International backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ROCKWOOL International, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.19 
1.86
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
32.50
32.50
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

ROCKWOOL International Hype Timeline

ROCKWOOL International is at this time traded for 32.50. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ROCKWOOL is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.19%. %. The volatility of related hype on ROCKWOOL International is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 32.50. About 33.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.7. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. ROCKWOOL International recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 7th of April 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ROCKWOOL International to cross-verify your projections.

ROCKWOOL International Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to ROCKWOOL International's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ROCKWOOL International's future price movements. Getting to know how ROCKWOOL International's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ROCKWOOL International may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EKIVFEnka Insaat ve 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.00  0.00  395.24 
FGSGFFlat Glass Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.00  0.00  7.89 
AVHNYAckermans Van Haaren 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.11  0.00  0.00  54.71 
FMOCFFomento de Construcciones 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
PYOIFPromotora Y Operadora 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.09  0.00  0.00  17.97 
ADRZFAndritz AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.02  0.00  0.00  6.31 
NXPRFNexans SA 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.06  1.33 (0.51) 8.02 
TISCFTaisei 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.16  0.00  0.00  47.12 
AYYLFAyala 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
JEXYYJiangsu Expressway Co 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00  0.00  14.67 

Other Forecasting Options for ROCKWOOL International

For every potential investor in ROCKWOOL, whether a beginner or expert, ROCKWOOL International's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ROCKWOOL Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ROCKWOOL. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ROCKWOOL International's price trends.

ROCKWOOL International Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ROCKWOOL International pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ROCKWOOL International could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ROCKWOOL International by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

ROCKWOOL International Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ROCKWOOL International pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ROCKWOOL International shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ROCKWOOL International pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ROCKWOOL International AS entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

ROCKWOOL International Risk Indicators

The analysis of ROCKWOOL International's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ROCKWOOL International's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rockwool pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for ROCKWOOL International

The number of cover stories for ROCKWOOL International depends on current market conditions and ROCKWOOL International's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ROCKWOOL International is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ROCKWOOL International's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in ROCKWOOL Pink Sheet

ROCKWOOL International financial ratios help investors to determine whether ROCKWOOL Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ROCKWOOL with respect to the benefits of owning ROCKWOOL International security.