Rollins Stock Forward View - Triple Exponential Smoothing
| RLS Stock | EUR 52.20 0.02 0.04% |
Rollins Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Rollins' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 2nd of February 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Rollins' share price is at 52 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rollins, making its price go up or down. Momentum 52
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.205 | Wall Street Target Price 38.33 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.12 |
Using Rollins hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rollins from the perspective of Rollins response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rollins on the next trading day is expected to be 52.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61 and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.07. Rollins after-hype prediction price | EUR 52.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Rollins |
Rollins Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rollins price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rollins using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rollins charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rollins Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rollins on the next trading day is expected to be 52.07 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.61, mean absolute percentage error of 0.59, and the sum of the absolute errors of 36.07.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rollins Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rollins' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rollins Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rollins | Rollins Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Rollins Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rollins' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rollins' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.75 and 53.39, respectively. We have considered Rollins' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rollins stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rollins stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.1003 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.6114 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0119 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 36.0705 |
Predictive Modules for Rollins
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rollins. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rollins After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rollins at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rollins or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rollins, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rollins Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rollins' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rollins' historical news coverage. Rollins' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 50.88 and 53.52, respectively. We have considered Rollins' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rollins is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rollins is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rollins Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rollins is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rollins backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rollins, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.06 | 1.32 | 0.00 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
52.20 | 52.20 | 0.00 |
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Rollins Hype Timeline
Rollins is at this time traded for 52.20on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Rollins is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.06%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rollins is about 646.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 52.21. About 38.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company last dividend was issued on the 25th of February 2026. Rollins had 3:2 split on the 11th of December 2020. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rollins to cross-verify your projections.Rollins Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rollins' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rollins' future price movements. Getting to know how Rollins' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rollins may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| T2K1 | Transportadora de Gas | 1.20 | 7 per month | 2.79 | 0.11 | 5.51 | (5.65) | 51.95 | |
| QV5 | Canlan Ice Sports | 0.06 | 2 per month | 3.62 | 0.05 | 6.92 | (6.67) | 22.51 | |
| 6GC | Gamma Communications plc | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 1.98 | (2.78) | 8.49 | |
| 6IC | Iridium Communications | 0.33 | 7 per month | 2.70 | 0.06 | 4.81 | (4.55) | 14.07 | |
| 2LH | MOVIE GAMES SA | (0.09) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 4.59 | (5.82) | 15.43 | |
| WA4 | Warner Music Group | (0.07) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.01 | (2.71) | 9.69 | |
| 4C6 | Hutchison Telecommunications Hong | 0.00 | 2 per month | 2.93 | 0.01 | 9.09 | (8.33) | 19.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rollins
For every potential investor in Rollins, whether a beginner or expert, Rollins' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rollins Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rollins. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rollins' price trends.Rollins Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rollins stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rollins could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rollins by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rollins Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rollins stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rollins shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rollins stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rollins entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Rollins Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rollins' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rollins' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rollins stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.18 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Variance | 2.23 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.69 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.47 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.38) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rollins
The number of cover stories for Rollins depends on current market conditions and Rollins' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rollins is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rollins' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rollins to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Rollins Stock please use our How to Invest in Rollins guide.You can also try the Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.