Relx PLC Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

RLXXF Stock  USD 40.10  1.77  4.62%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Relx PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 38.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.11. Relx Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Relx PLC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Relx PLC's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Relx PLC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Relx PLC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Relx PLC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Relx PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Relx PLC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Relx PLC from the perspective of Relx PLC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Relx PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 38.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57 and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.11.

Relx PLC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 40.1  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Relx PLC to cross-verify your projections.

Relx PLC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Relx price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Relx using various technical indicators. When you analyze Relx charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Relx PLC is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Relx PLC value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Relx PLC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Relx PLC on the next trading day is expected to be 38.22 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.57, mean absolute percentage error of 0.51, and the sum of the absolute errors of 35.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Relx Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Relx PLC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Relx PLC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Relx PLCRelx PLC Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Relx PLC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Relx PLC's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Relx PLC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 35.91 and 40.53, respectively. We have considered Relx PLC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
40.10
38.22
Expected Value
40.53
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Relx PLC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Relx PLC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.2838
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5663
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0137
SAESum of the absolute errors35.1075
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Relx PLC. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Relx PLC. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Relx PLC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Relx PLC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Relx PLC's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.7940.1042.41
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
39.1441.4543.76
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
38.5240.9643.40
Details

Relx PLC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Relx PLC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Relx PLC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Relx PLC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Relx PLC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Relx PLC's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Relx PLC's historical news coverage. Relx PLC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.79 and 42.41, respectively. We have considered Relx PLC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
40.10
40.10
After-hype Price
42.41
Upside
Relx PLC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Relx PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Relx PLC Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Relx PLC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Relx PLC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Relx PLC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
2.31
 0.00  
  0.10 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
40.10
40.10
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Relx PLC Hype Timeline

Relx PLC is at this time traded for 40.10. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.1. Relx is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Relx PLC is about 401.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.00. About 58.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.83. Relx PLC last dividend was issued on the 4th of August 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Relx PLC to cross-verify your projections.

Relx PLC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Relx PLC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Relx PLC's future price movements. Getting to know how Relx PLC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Relx PLC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
IDWMIDW Media Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.07) 0.71 (4.05) 23.71 
NTTYYNippon Telegraph and 0.27 20 per month 0.00 (0.15) 1.59 (1.47) 5.40 
NPPXFNippon Telegraph Telephone 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.05) 6.19 (6.19) 20.53 
SFBQFSoftBank Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.02) 7.03 (5.03) 22.61 
SOBKYSoftBank Corp 0.27 14 per month 0.00 (0.16) 1.64 (1.68) 7.61 
KDDIYKDDI Corp PK 0.00 0 per month 0.85  0.01  2.13 (1.51) 4.80 
KDDIFKDDI Corp(6.84)4 per month 2.11  0.02  2.39 (6.56) 35.45 
SGAPYSingapore Telecommunications PK 0.27 12 per month 0.95  0.05  2.50 (1.55) 9.20 
SNGNFSingapore Telecommunications Limited 0.27 12 per month 1.50  0.06  4.35 (2.76) 20.20 
SBBTFSchibsted ASA ADR 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.04) 0.00 (1.79) 40.35 

Other Forecasting Options for Relx PLC

For every potential investor in Relx, whether a beginner or expert, Relx PLC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Relx Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Relx. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Relx PLC's price trends.

Relx PLC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Relx PLC pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Relx PLC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Relx PLC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Relx PLC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Relx PLC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Relx PLC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Relx PLC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Relx PLC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Relx PLC Risk Indicators

The analysis of Relx PLC's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Relx PLC's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting relx pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Relx PLC

The number of cover stories for Relx PLC depends on current market conditions and Relx PLC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Relx PLC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Relx PLC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Relx Pink Sheet

Relx PLC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Relx Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Relx with respect to the benefits of owning Relx PLC security.