Rmb Fund Mutual Fund Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

RMBGX Fund  USD 38.33  0.11  0.29%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rmb Fund I on the next trading day is expected to be 38.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.61. RMB Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for Rmb Fund works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

Rmb Fund Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Rmb Fund I on the next trading day is expected to be 38.36 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.61.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict RMB Mutual Fund prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rmb Fund's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rmb Fund Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Rmb Fund Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rmb Fund's Mutual Fund value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rmb Fund's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.68 and 39.04, respectively. We have considered Rmb Fund's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
38.33
38.36
Expected Value
39.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rmb Fund mutual fund data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rmb Fund mutual fund, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0422
MADMean absolute deviation0.1935
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0052
SAESum of the absolute errors11.6129
When Rmb Fund I prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any Rmb Fund I trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent Rmb Fund observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Rmb Fund

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rmb Fund I. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the mutual fund market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the mutual fund market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
37.7638.4439.12
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
37.4438.1238.80
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
37.7838.2538.71
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Rmb Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Rmb Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Rmb Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Rmb Fund I.

Other Forecasting Options for Rmb Fund

For every potential investor in RMB, whether a beginner or expert, Rmb Fund's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. RMB Mutual Fund price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in RMB. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rmb Fund's price trends.

Rmb Fund Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rmb Fund mutual fund to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rmb Fund could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rmb Fund by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rmb Fund I Technical and Predictive Analytics

The mutual fund market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rmb Fund's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rmb Fund's current price.

Rmb Fund Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rmb Fund mutual fund reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rmb Fund shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rmb Fund mutual fund market strength indicators, traders can identify Rmb Fund I entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rmb Fund Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rmb Fund's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rmb Fund's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rmb mutual fund prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in RMB Mutual Fund

Rmb Fund financial ratios help investors to determine whether RMB Mutual Fund is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in RMB with respect to the benefits of owning Rmb Fund security.
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