Resolute Mining Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Moving Average

RMGGF Stock  USD 0.27  0.01  3.57%   
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Resolute Mining Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.10. Resolute Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Resolute Mining's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A two period moving average forecast for Resolute Mining is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Resolute Mining Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Resolute Mining Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.27 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.10.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Resolute Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Resolute Mining's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Resolute Mining Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Resolute Mining Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Resolute Mining's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Resolute Mining's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 7.40, respectively. We have considered Resolute Mining's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.27
0.27
Expected Value
7.40
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Resolute Mining pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Resolute Mining pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.9076
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0038
MADMean absolute deviation0.0186
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0509
SAESum of the absolute errors1.095
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Resolute Mining Limited price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Resolute Mining. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Resolute Mining

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Resolute Mining. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.277.40
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.267.39
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Resolute Mining. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Resolute Mining's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Resolute Mining's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Resolute Mining.

Other Forecasting Options for Resolute Mining

For every potential investor in Resolute, whether a beginner or expert, Resolute Mining's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Resolute Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Resolute. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Resolute Mining's price trends.

Resolute Mining Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Resolute Mining pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Resolute Mining could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Resolute Mining by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Resolute Mining Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Resolute Mining's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Resolute Mining's current price.

Resolute Mining Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Resolute Mining pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Resolute Mining shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Resolute Mining pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Resolute Mining Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Resolute Mining Risk Indicators

The analysis of Resolute Mining's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Resolute Mining's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting resolute pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Resolute Pink Sheet

Resolute Mining financial ratios help investors to determine whether Resolute Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Resolute with respect to the benefits of owning Resolute Mining security.