Randgold Exploration Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RNDXF Stock | USD 0.04 0.00 0.00% |
Randgold Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Randgold Exploration's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength index (RSI) of Randgold Exploration's share price is above 70 as of 28th of January 2026 indicating that the pink sheet is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Randgold, making its price go up or down. Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Randgold Exploration hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Randgold Exploration from the perspective of Randgold Exploration response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Randgold Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03. Randgold Exploration after-hype prediction price | USD 0.04 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Randgold |
Randgold Exploration Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Randgold price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Randgold using various technical indicators. When you analyze Randgold charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Randgold Exploration Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Randgold Exploration on the next trading day is expected to be 0.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0006, mean absolute percentage error of 0.000013, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.03.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Randgold Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Randgold Exploration's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Randgold Exploration Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Randgold Exploration | Randgold Exploration Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Randgold Exploration Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Randgold Exploration's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Randgold Exploration's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.0004 and 19.91, respectively. We have considered Randgold Exploration's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Randgold Exploration pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Randgold Exploration pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 105.0543 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -3.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 6.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0135 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0348 |
Predictive Modules for Randgold Exploration
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Randgold Exploration. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Randgold Exploration's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Randgold Exploration After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Randgold Exploration at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Randgold Exploration or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Randgold Exploration, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Randgold Exploration Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Randgold Exploration's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Randgold Exploration's historical news coverage. Randgold Exploration's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 19.91, respectively. We have considered Randgold Exploration's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Randgold Exploration is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Randgold Exploration is based on 3 months time horizon.
Randgold Exploration Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Randgold Exploration is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Randgold Exploration backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Randgold Exploration, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.22 | 19.87 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.04 | 0.04 | 6.67 |
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Randgold Exploration Hype Timeline
Randgold Exploration is at this time traded for 0.04. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Randgold is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.04 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price rise on the next news is estimated to be 6.67%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.22%. The volatility of related hype on Randgold Exploration is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.04. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Randgold Exploration to cross-verify your projections.Randgold Exploration Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Randgold Exploration's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Randgold Exploration's future price movements. Getting to know how Randgold Exploration's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Randgold Exploration may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TYXXF | Tyranna Resources Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FALFF | Falcon Metals Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 99.67 | |
| TBMIF | AurCrest Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 50.00 | |
| SGGDF | Sage Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| GANDF | Gander Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 16.49 | 0.11 | 50.91 | (35.42) | 203.29 | |
| MFMLF | Marifil Mines Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.70 | 0.12 | 23.46 | (18.75) | 737.58 | |
| CPKOF | Castle Peak Mining | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 65.86 | |
| VITFF | Victoria Gold Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 38.36 | 0.29 | 409.80 | (78.40) | 1,282 | |
| KNDYF | Kenadyr Mining Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 362.75 | |
| MRIRF | BMEX Gold | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 747.90 |
Other Forecasting Options for Randgold Exploration
For every potential investor in Randgold, whether a beginner or expert, Randgold Exploration's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Randgold Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Randgold. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Randgold Exploration's price trends.Randgold Exploration Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Randgold Exploration pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Randgold Exploration could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Randgold Exploration by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Randgold Exploration Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Randgold Exploration pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Randgold Exploration shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Randgold Exploration pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Randgold Exploration entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.0 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0375 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0375 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 74.96 |
Randgold Exploration Risk Indicators
The analysis of Randgold Exploration's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Randgold Exploration's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting randgold pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 4.68 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 19.41 | |||
| Variance | 376.75 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Randgold Exploration
The number of cover stories for Randgold Exploration depends on current market conditions and Randgold Exploration's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Randgold Exploration is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Randgold Exploration's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Randgold Exploration Short Properties
Randgold Exploration's future price predictability will typically decrease when Randgold Exploration's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Randgold Exploration often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Randgold Exploration's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Randgold Exploration's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 71.6 M | |
| Shares Float | 29.5 M |
Other Information on Investing in Randgold Pink Sheet
Randgold Exploration financial ratios help investors to determine whether Randgold Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Randgold with respect to the benefits of owning Randgold Exploration security.