Rockwell Automation Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| ROK Stock | USD 419.75 0.65 0.15% |
Rockwell Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Rockwell Automation's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Rockwell Automation's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Rockwell Automation fundamentals over time.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of Rockwell Automation's share price is at 58 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Rockwell Automation, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.4086 | EPS Estimate Current Year 12.0148 | EPS Estimate Next Year 13.6275 | Wall Street Target Price 415.9696 |
Using Rockwell Automation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rockwell Automation from the perspective of Rockwell Automation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rockwell Automation using Rockwell Automation's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rockwell using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rockwell Automation's stock price.
Rockwell Automation Short Interest
An investor who is long Rockwell Automation may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Rockwell Automation and may potentially protect profits, hedge Rockwell Automation with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 344.0151 | Short Percent 0.0276 | Short Ratio 3.6 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.9 M | 50 Day MA 398.6584 |
Rockwell Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rockwell Automation on the next trading day is expected to be 421.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.52.Rockwell Automation Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Rockwell Automation's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Rockwell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Rockwell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Rockwell Automation. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Rockwell Automation's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Rockwell Automation.
Rockwell Automation Implied Volatility | 0.36 |
Rockwell Automation's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rockwell Automation stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rockwell Automation's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rockwell Automation stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rockwell Automation's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rockwell Automation on the next trading day is expected to be 421.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.81 and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.52. Rockwell Automation after-hype prediction price | USD 419.5 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rockwell Automation to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Rockwell contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Rockwell Automation will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0225% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Rockwell Automation trading at USD 419.75, that is roughly USD 0.0944 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Rockwell Automation's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Rockwell Automation options at the current volatility level of 0.36%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Rockwell Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rockwell Automation's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rockwell Automation's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rockwell Automation stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rockwell Automation's open interest, investors have to compare it to Rockwell Automation's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rockwell Automation is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rockwell. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Rockwell Automation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Rockwell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rockwell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rockwell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Rockwell Automation Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Rockwell Automation's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 1985-09-30 | Previous Quarter 495 M | Current Value 468 M | Quarterly Volatility 378 M |
Rockwell Automation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rockwell Automation on the next trading day is expected to be 421.91 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.81, mean absolute percentage error of 58.16, and the sum of the absolute errors of 354.52.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rockwell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rockwell Automation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Rockwell Automation Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Rockwell Automation | Rockwell Automation Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Rockwell Automation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Rockwell Automation's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rockwell Automation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 420.33 and 423.50, respectively. We have considered Rockwell Automation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rockwell Automation stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rockwell Automation stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 122.1736 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 5.8118 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0148 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 354.5188 |
Predictive Modules for Rockwell Automation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rockwell Automation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Rockwell Automation After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Rockwell Automation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rockwell Automation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Rockwell Automation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Rockwell Automation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Rockwell Automation's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rockwell Automation's historical news coverage. Rockwell Automation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 417.91 and 421.09, respectively. We have considered Rockwell Automation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Rockwell Automation is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rockwell Automation is based on 3 months time horizon.
Rockwell Automation Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rockwell Automation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rockwell Automation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rockwell Automation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.23 | 1.59 | 0.80 | 0.26 | 10 Events / Month | 4 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
419.75 | 419.50 | 0.20 |
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Rockwell Automation Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January Rockwell Automation is traded for 419.75. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.8, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.26. Rockwell is estimated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 419.5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 45.43%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Rockwell Automation is about 138.93%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 419.49. About 87.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.69. Rockwell Automation last dividend was issued on the 17th of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 14th of April 1987. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rockwell Automation to cross-verify your projections.Rockwell Automation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Rockwell Automation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rockwell Automation's future price movements. Getting to know how Rockwell Automation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rockwell Automation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GD | General Dynamics | (7.08) | 8 per month | 1.17 | 0.02 | 2.00 | (2.00) | 7.72 | |
| YFYA | Listed Funds Trust | (0.02) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.32) | 0.20 | (0.20) | 0.82 | |
| MRK | Merck Company | 1.34 | 8 per month | 1.11 | 0.15 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 8.09 | |
| PODD | Insulet | (4.04) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.16) | 3.24 | (3.62) | 13.53 | |
| EAT | Brinker International | 1.40 | 10 per month | 2.58 | 0.07 | 6.16 | (4.67) | 12.88 | |
| TWEIX | Equity Income Fund | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 1.06 | (0.81) | 8.81 | |
| PZZA | Papa Johns International | (1.90) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.21) | 4.51 | (4.96) | 14.50 | |
| PSMO | Pacer Swan SOS | (0.01) | 2 per month | 0.27 | (0.12) | 0.56 | (0.62) | 2.00 | |
| PSMR | Pacer Swan SOS | 0.01 | 2 per month | 0.00 | (0.29) | 0.34 | (0.24) | 0.89 |
Other Forecasting Options for Rockwell Automation
For every potential investor in Rockwell, whether a beginner or expert, Rockwell Automation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rockwell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rockwell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rockwell Automation's price trends.Rockwell Automation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rockwell Automation stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rockwell Automation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rockwell Automation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Rockwell Automation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rockwell Automation stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rockwell Automation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rockwell Automation stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rockwell Automation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Rockwell Automation Risk Indicators
The analysis of Rockwell Automation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rockwell Automation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rockwell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.21 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.57 | |||
| Variance | 2.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.28 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.28) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Rockwell Automation
The number of cover stories for Rockwell Automation depends on current market conditions and Rockwell Automation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rockwell Automation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rockwell Automation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Rockwell Automation Short Properties
Rockwell Automation's future price predictability will typically decrease when Rockwell Automation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Rockwell Automation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Rockwell Automation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Rockwell Automation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 113.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 468 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rockwell Automation to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Rockwell Stock please use our How to buy in Rockwell Stock guide.You can also try the Bonds Directory module to find actively traded corporate debentures issued by US companies.
Is Electrical Components & Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Rockwell Automation. If investors know Rockwell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Rockwell Automation listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.41) | Dividend Share 5.24 | Earnings Share 7.69 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.138 |
The market value of Rockwell Automation is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Rockwell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Rockwell Automation's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Rockwell Automation's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Rockwell Automation's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Rockwell Automation's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Rockwell Automation's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Rockwell Automation is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Rockwell Automation's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.