Roma Green Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

ROMA Stock   0.67  0.02  2.90%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Roma Green Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 0.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.75. Roma Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Roma Green stock prices and determine the direction of Roma Green Finance's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Roma Green's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
At present, Roma Green's Inventory Turnover is projected to increase significantly based on the last few years of reporting. The current year's Payables Turnover is expected to grow to 34.61, whereas Receivables Turnover is forecasted to decline to 0.57. . As of November 27, 2024, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is expected to decline to about 8.3 M.
Triple exponential smoothing for Roma Green - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Roma Green prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Roma Green price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Roma Green Finance.

Roma Green Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 28th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Roma Green Finance on the next trading day is expected to be 0.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.75.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Roma Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Roma Green's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Roma Green Stock Forecast Pattern

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Roma Green Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Roma Green's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Roma Green's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 6.23, respectively. We have considered Roma Green's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.67
0.66
Expected Value
6.23
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Roma Green stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Roma Green stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0013
MADMean absolute deviation0.0291
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0383
SAESum of the absolute errors1.7471
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Roma Green observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Roma Green Finance observations.

Predictive Modules for Roma Green

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Roma Green Finance. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.030.706.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.030.626.13
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Roma Green

For every potential investor in Roma, whether a beginner or expert, Roma Green's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Roma Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Roma. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Roma Green's price trends.

Roma Green Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Roma Green stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Roma Green could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Roma Green by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Roma Green Finance Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Roma Green's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Roma Green's current price.

Roma Green Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Roma Green stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Roma Green shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Roma Green stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Roma Green Finance entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Roma Green Risk Indicators

The analysis of Roma Green's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Roma Green's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting roma stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether Roma Green Finance offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Roma Green's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Roma Green Finance Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Roma Green Finance Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Roma Green to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Theme Ratings module to determine theme ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis theme ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Is Environmental & Facilities Services space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Roma Green. If investors know Roma will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Roma Green listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share
(0.09)
Revenue Per Share
1.217
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.35)
Return On Assets
(0.11)
Return On Equity
(0.20)
The market value of Roma Green Finance is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Roma that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Roma Green's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Roma Green's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Roma Green's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Roma Green's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Roma Green's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Roma Green is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Roma Green's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.