Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Stock Forecast - 8 Period Moving Average

ROVI Stock  EUR 64.45  0.60  0.94%   
The 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Laboratorios Farmaceuticos ROVI on the next trading day is expected to be 63.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.40 and the sum of the absolute errors of 126.99. Laboratorios Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Laboratorios Farmaceuticos stock prices and determine the direction of Laboratorios Farmaceuticos ROVI's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
An 8-period moving average forecast model for Laboratorios Farmaceuticos is based on an artificially constructed time series of Laboratorios Farmaceuticos daily prices in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 8 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

Laboratorios Farmaceuticos 8 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 8 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Laboratorios Farmaceuticos ROVI on the next trading day is expected to be 63.11 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.40, mean absolute percentage error of 12.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 126.99.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Laboratorios Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Stock Forecast Pattern

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Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 60.73 and 65.50, respectively. We have considered Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
64.45
63.11
Expected Value
65.50
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 8 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Laboratorios Farmaceuticos stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Laboratorios Farmaceuticos stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria105.9129
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.981
MADMean absolute deviation2.3961
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0349
SAESum of the absolute errors126.9938
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. Laboratorios Farmaceuticos ROVI 8-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for Laboratorios Farmaceuticos

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Laboratorios Farmaceuticos. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
62.0564.4566.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
54.8957.2970.90
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Laboratorios Farmaceuticos

For every potential investor in Laboratorios, whether a beginner or expert, Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Laboratorios Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Laboratorios. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' price trends.

Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Laboratorios Farmaceuticos stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Laboratorios Farmaceuticos could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Laboratorios Farmaceuticos by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' current price.

Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Laboratorios Farmaceuticos stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Laboratorios Farmaceuticos shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Laboratorios Farmaceuticos stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Laboratorios Farmaceuticos ROVI entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Laboratorios Farmaceuticos Risk Indicators

The analysis of Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Laboratorios Farmaceuticos' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting laboratorios stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Laboratorios Stock

Laboratorios Farmaceuticos financial ratios help investors to determine whether Laboratorios Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Laboratorios with respect to the benefits of owning Laboratorios Farmaceuticos security.