Rapac Communication Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

RPAC Stock  ILS 2,535  12.00  0.48%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Rapac Communication Infrastructure on the next trading day is expected to be 2,529 with a mean absolute deviation of 34.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,962. Rapac Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Rapac Communication stock prices and determine the direction of Rapac Communication Infrastructure's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rapac Communication's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Rapac Communication Infrastructure is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Rapac Communication 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 27th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Rapac Communication Infrastructure on the next trading day is expected to be 2,529 with a mean absolute deviation of 34.42, mean absolute percentage error of 1,943, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1,962.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rapac Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rapac Communication's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rapac Communication Stock Forecast Pattern

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Rapac Communication Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rapac Communication's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rapac Communication's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,528 and 2,531, respectively. We have considered Rapac Communication's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,535
2,529
Expected Value
2,531
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rapac Communication stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rapac Communication stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.3309
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -7.3816
MADMean absolute deviation34.4167
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0137
SAESum of the absolute errors1961.75
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Rapac Communication. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Rapac Communication Infrastructure and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Rapac Communication

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rapac Communication. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,5342,5352,536
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,1072,1092,788
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rapac Communication

For every potential investor in Rapac, whether a beginner or expert, Rapac Communication's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rapac Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rapac. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rapac Communication's price trends.

Rapac Communication Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rapac Communication stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rapac Communication could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rapac Communication by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rapac Communication Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rapac Communication's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rapac Communication's current price.

Rapac Communication Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rapac Communication stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rapac Communication shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rapac Communication stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rapac Communication Infrastructure entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rapac Communication Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rapac Communication's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rapac Communication's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rapac stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Rapac Stock

Rapac Communication financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rapac Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rapac with respect to the benefits of owning Rapac Communication security.