Republic Power Stock Forward View
| RPGL Stock | 0.69 0.15 17.86% |
Republic Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Republic Power's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Republic Power's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Republic Power fundamentals over time.
As of now, the value of relative strength index of Republic Power's share price is approaching 49 indicating that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Republic Power, making its price go up or down. Momentum 49
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Revenue Growth 48.927 |
Using Republic Power hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Republic Power Group from the perspective of Republic Power response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Republic Power Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.80. Republic Power after-hype prediction price | USD 0.69 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Republic Power to cross-verify your projections. Republic Power Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Republic price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Republic using various technical indicators. When you analyze Republic charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Republic Power Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Republic Power's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2010-12-31 | Previous Quarter 123.3 | Current Value 117.14 | Quarterly Volatility 515.1 K |
Republic Power Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Republic Power Group on the next trading day is expected to be 1.04 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.08, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.80.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Republic Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Republic Power's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Republic Power Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Republic Power | Republic Power Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Republic Power Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Republic Power's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Republic Power's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 35.92, respectively. We have considered Republic Power's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Republic Power stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Republic Power stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.359 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1742 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.2756 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 10.8001 |
Predictive Modules for Republic Power
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Republic Power Group. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Republic Power After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Republic Power at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Republic Power or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Republic Power, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Republic Power Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Republic Power's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Republic Power's historical news coverage. Republic Power's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 35.41, respectively. We have considered Republic Power's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Republic Power is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Republic Power Group is based on 3 months time horizon.
Republic Power Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Republic Power is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Republic Power backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Republic Power, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
2.05 | 34.88 | 0.02 | 0.10 | 4 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.69 | 0.69 | 0.00 |
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Republic Power Hype Timeline
Republic Power Group is at this time traded for 0.69. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.1. Republic is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 2.05%. %. The volatility of related hype on Republic Power is about 74212.77%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.79. About 63.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Republic Power to cross-verify your projections.Republic Power Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Republic Power's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Republic Power's future price movements. Getting to know how Republic Power's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Republic Power may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NTCL | NETCLASS TECHNOLOGY INC | (0.02) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 12.50 | (16.36) | 71.43 | |
| NXPL | Nextplat Corp | 0.02 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 8.33 | (8.16) | 28.43 | |
| SAGT | SAGTEC GLOBAL LIMITED | (0.02) | 4 per month | 4.10 | 0.01 | 8.70 | (7.50) | 29.68 | |
| RMSG | Real Messenger | (0.06) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 10.13 | (14.71) | 39.23 | |
| VEEA | Veea Inc | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 14.29 | (10.96) | 34.60 | |
| UTSI | UTStarcom Holdings Corp | (0.08) | 16 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 4.66 | (5.20) | 22.59 | |
| MNDO | MIND CTI | 0.01 | 7 per month | 1.64 | 0.03 | 3.48 | (3.36) | 15.74 | |
| CLPS | CLPS Inc | 0.01 | 7 per month | 3.09 | 0.08 | 5.88 | (5.56) | 34.67 | |
| AIFF | Firefly Neuroscience | 0.08 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 5.99 | (8.74) | 24.54 | |
| NVNI | Nvni Group Limited | 0.62 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 6.79 | (9.31) | 57.59 |
Other Forecasting Options for Republic Power
For every potential investor in Republic, whether a beginner or expert, Republic Power's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Republic Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Republic. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Republic Power's price trends.Republic Power Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Republic Power stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Republic Power could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Republic Power by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Republic Power Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Republic Power stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Republic Power shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Republic Power stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Republic Power Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Republic Power Risk Indicators
The analysis of Republic Power's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Republic Power's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting republic stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 16.09 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 15.5 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 33.43 | |||
| Variance | 1117.46 | |||
| Downside Variance | 299.78 | |||
| Semi Variance | 240.35 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (23.75) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Republic Power
The number of cover stories for Republic Power depends on current market conditions and Republic Power's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Republic Power is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Republic Power's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Republic Power to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Global Markets Map module to get a quick overview of global market snapshot using zoomable world map. Drill down to check world indexes.
Is Software - Application space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Republic Power. Anticipated expansion of Republic directly elevates investor willingness to pay premium valuations. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Republic Power assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Republic Power Group using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Republic Power's intrinsic value - the estimated true worth - helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Republic Power's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Republic Power's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Republic Power should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Republic Power's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.