Rapala VMC Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction

RPNMF Stock  USD 2.86  0.00  0.00%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rapala VMC on the next trading day is expected to be 2.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Rapala Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Rapala VMC's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Rapala VMC's share price is below 20 indicating that the pink sheet is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rapala VMC's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Rapala VMC and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Rapala VMC's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rapala VMC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Rapala VMC hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rapala VMC from the perspective of Rapala VMC response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rapala VMC on the next trading day is expected to be 2.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.

Rapala VMC after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 2.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rapala VMC to cross-verify your projections.

Rapala VMC Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rapala price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rapala using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rapala charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A naive forecasting model for Rapala VMC is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Rapala VMC value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Rapala VMC Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 25th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rapala VMC on the next trading day is expected to be 2.86 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rapala Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rapala VMC's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rapala VMC Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

Backtest Rapala VMCRapala VMC Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Rapala VMC Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rapala VMC's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rapala VMC's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.86 and 2.86, respectively. We have considered Rapala VMC's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2.86
2.86
Expected Value
2.86
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rapala VMC pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rapala VMC pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria52.9117
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Rapala VMC. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Rapala VMC. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Rapala VMC

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rapala VMC. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2.862.862.86
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2.862.862.86
Details

Rapala VMC After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Rapala VMC at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Rapala VMC or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Rapala VMC, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Rapala VMC Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Rapala VMC's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Rapala VMC's historical news coverage. Rapala VMC's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.86 and 2.86, respectively. We have considered Rapala VMC's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
2.86
2.86
After-hype Price
2.86
Upside
Rapala VMC is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Rapala VMC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Rapala VMC Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Rapala VMC is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Rapala VMC backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Rapala VMC, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
0 Events / Month
Within a week
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
2.86
2.86
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Rapala VMC Hype Timeline

Rapala VMC is at this time traded for 2.86. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Rapala is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.0%. %. The volatility of related hype on Rapala VMC is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.86. About 43.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.08. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Rapala VMC last dividend was issued on the 24th of March 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next expected press release will be within a week.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rapala VMC to cross-verify your projections.

Rapala VMC Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Rapala VMC's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Rapala VMC's future price movements. Getting to know how Rapala VMC's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Rapala VMC may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
FRWDFFairwood Holdings Limited 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.13) 0.00  0.00  40.38 
TXCBCang Bao Tian 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
HMAGFHome24 SE 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
XNGIFXingda International Holdings 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
SAXJYSa Sa International 0.00 0 per month 5.03  0.04  16.88 (13.61) 54.63 
LSMNFlastminute NV 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
NBRNFN Brown Group 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
ZAPNFZapf Creation AG 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
MVXMMoveix Inc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FOCIFFocusrite plc 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.05  0.00  0.00  7.29 

Other Forecasting Options for Rapala VMC

For every potential investor in Rapala, whether a beginner or expert, Rapala VMC's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rapala Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rapala. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rapala VMC's price trends.

Rapala VMC Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rapala VMC pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rapala VMC could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rapala VMC by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rapala VMC Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rapala VMC pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rapala VMC shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rapala VMC pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Rapala VMC entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Story Coverage note for Rapala VMC

The number of cover stories for Rapala VMC depends on current market conditions and Rapala VMC's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Rapala VMC is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Rapala VMC's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Other Information on Investing in Rapala Pink Sheet

Rapala VMC financial ratios help investors to determine whether Rapala Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Rapala with respect to the benefits of owning Rapala VMC security.