Rithm Property Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

RPT Stock  USD 16.03  0.13  0.80%   
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rithm Property Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 15.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.89. Rithm Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Rithm Property's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Rithm Property's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Rithm Property Trust, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Rithm Property's stock price prediction:
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.04
EPS Estimate Current Year
(0.04)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.835
Wall Street Target Price
21.9997
Using Rithm Property hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Rithm Property Trust from the perspective of Rithm Property response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Rithm Property using Rithm Property's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Rithm using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Rithm Property's stock price.

Rithm Property Implied Volatility

    
  1.67  
Rithm Property's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Rithm Property Trust stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Rithm Property's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Rithm Property stock will not fluctuate a lot when Rithm Property's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rithm Property Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 15.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27 and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.89.

Rithm Property after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 16.03  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Rithm Property to cross-verify your projections.
Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to gain to 11.91 in 2026, despite the fact that Inventory Turnover is likely to grow to (33.52). . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 6 M in 2026. Net Loss is likely to drop to about (87.1 M) in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 Rithm Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Rithm Property's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Rithm Property's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Rithm Property stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Rithm Property's open interest, investors have to compare it to Rithm Property's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Rithm Property is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Rithm. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Rithm Property Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Rithm price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Rithm using various technical indicators. When you analyze Rithm charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the Rithm Property's financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
1994-06-30
Previous Quarter
98.6 M
Current Value
82.4 M
Quarterly Volatility
42.1 M
 
Dot-com Bubble
 
Housing Crash
 
Credit Downgrade
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
A naive forecasting model for Rithm Property is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Rithm Property Trust value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Rithm Property Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 9th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Rithm Property Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 15.95 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.27, mean absolute percentage error of 0.15, and the sum of the absolute errors of 16.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Rithm Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Rithm Property's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Rithm Property Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Rithm PropertyRithm Property Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Rithm Property Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Rithm Property's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Rithm Property's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.55 and 18.35, respectively. We have considered Rithm Property's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
16.03
15.95
Expected Value
18.35
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Rithm Property stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Rithm Property stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria118.0401
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.2723
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0174
SAESum of the absolute errors16.8856
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Rithm Property Trust. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Rithm Property. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Rithm Property

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Rithm Property Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
13.6316.0318.43
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
13.5915.9818.38
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
20.0222.0024.42
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.01-0.010.00
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Rithm Property

For every potential investor in Rithm, whether a beginner or expert, Rithm Property's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Rithm Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Rithm. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Rithm Property's price trends.

Rithm Property Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Rithm Property stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Rithm Property could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Rithm Property by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Rithm Property Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Rithm Property's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Rithm Property's current price.

Rithm Property Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Rithm Property stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Rithm Property shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Rithm Property stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Rithm Property Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Rithm Property Risk Indicators

The analysis of Rithm Property's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Rithm Property's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting rithm stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

Explore Investment Opportunities

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Additional Tools for Rithm Stock Analysis

When running Rithm Property's price analysis, check to measure Rithm Property's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Rithm Property is operating at the current time. Most of Rithm Property's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Rithm Property's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Rithm Property's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Rithm Property to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.