Robinsons Retail Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RRETY Stock | USD 5.75 0.00 0.00% |
Robinsons Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Robinsons Retail's share price is at 53 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Robinsons Retail, making its price go up or down. Momentum 53
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Robinsons Retail hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Robinsons Retail Holdings from the perspective of Robinsons Retail response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Robinsons Retail Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.05. Robinsons Retail after-hype prediction price | USD 5.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Robinsons |
Robinsons Retail Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Robinsons price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Robinsons using various technical indicators. When you analyze Robinsons charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
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| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Robinsons Retail Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Robinsons Retail Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 5.75 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.01, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.05.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Robinsons Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Robinsons Retail's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Robinsons Retail Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Robinsons Retail | Robinsons Retail Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Robinsons Retail Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Robinsons Retail's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Robinsons Retail's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.12 and 7.38, respectively. We have considered Robinsons Retail's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Robinsons Retail pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Robinsons Retail pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 111.6603 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0072 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0175 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0032 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.05 |
Predictive Modules for Robinsons Retail
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Robinsons Retail Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Robinsons Retail's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Robinsons Retail After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Robinsons Retail at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Robinsons Retail or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Robinsons Retail, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Robinsons Retail Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Robinsons Retail's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Robinsons Retail's historical news coverage. Robinsons Retail's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.14 and 7.36, respectively. We have considered Robinsons Retail's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Robinsons Retail is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Robinsons Retail Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
Robinsons Retail Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Robinsons Retail is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Robinsons Retail backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Robinsons Retail, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.10 | 1.63 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | Within a week |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
5.75 | 5.75 | 0.00 |
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Robinsons Retail Hype Timeline
Robinsons Retail Holdings is at this time traded for 5.75. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Robinsons is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.1%. %. The volatility of related hype on Robinsons Retail is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 5.75. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.17. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. Robinsons Retail Holdings last dividend was issued on the 18th of May 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next anticipated press release will be within a week. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Robinsons Retail to cross-verify your projections.Robinsons Retail Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Robinsons Retail's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Robinsons Retail's future price movements. Getting to know how Robinsons Retail's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Robinsons Retail may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LENTY | Lenta PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PMDKF | PT Mitra Adiperkasa | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LCMRF | La Comer SAB | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 37.01 | |
| FNXTF | Fenix Outdoor International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.01) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.28 | |
| SHOFF | Shoei Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 12.13 | |
| PCTGY | Pact Group Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BOZTY | Boozt AB ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.10 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 23.43 | |
| JWTXF | The Japan Wool | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BTEAF | Bnteau SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| FOVSY | Ford Otomotiv Sanayi | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 7.75 | (0.73) | 21.36 |
Other Forecasting Options for Robinsons Retail
For every potential investor in Robinsons, whether a beginner or expert, Robinsons Retail's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Robinsons Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Robinsons. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Robinsons Retail's price trends.Robinsons Retail Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Robinsons Retail pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Robinsons Retail could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Robinsons Retail by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Robinsons Retail Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Robinsons Retail pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Robinsons Retail shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Robinsons Retail pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Robinsons Retail Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Robinsons Retail Risk Indicators
The analysis of Robinsons Retail's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Robinsons Retail's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting robinsons pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.3599 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.56 | |||
| Variance | 2.44 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Robinsons Retail
The number of cover stories for Robinsons Retail depends on current market conditions and Robinsons Retail's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Robinsons Retail is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Robinsons Retail's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Robinsons Pink Sheet Analysis
When running Robinsons Retail's price analysis, check to measure Robinsons Retail's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Robinsons Retail is operating at the current time. Most of Robinsons Retail's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Robinsons Retail's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Robinsons Retail's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Robinsons Retail to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.