Reliance Steel Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| RS6 Stock | EUR 299.30 3.50 1.16% |
Reliance Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Reliance Steel's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of February 2026 the relative strength momentum indicator of Reliance Steel's share price is below 20 indicating that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.01) | Wall Street Target Price 181.17 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.068 |
Using Reliance Steel hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Reliance Steel Aluminum from the perspective of Reliance Steel response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Reliance Steel Aluminum on the next trading day is expected to be 299.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.29 and the sum of the absolute errors of 193.87. Reliance Steel after-hype prediction price | EUR 299.3 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Reliance |
Reliance Steel Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Reliance price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Reliance using various technical indicators. When you analyze Reliance charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Reliance Steel Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Reliance Steel Aluminum on the next trading day is expected to be 299.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.29, mean absolute percentage error of 17.30, and the sum of the absolute errors of 193.87.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Reliance Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Reliance Steel's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Reliance Steel Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Reliance Steel | Reliance Steel Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Reliance Steel Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Reliance Steel's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Reliance Steel's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 297.81 and 300.79, respectively. We have considered Reliance Steel's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Reliance Steel stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Reliance Steel stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2857 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -1.8066 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.2859 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 193.87 |
Predictive Modules for Reliance Steel
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Reliance Steel Aluminum. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Reliance Steel After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Reliance Steel at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Reliance Steel or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Reliance Steel, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Reliance Steel Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Reliance Steel's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Reliance Steel's historical news coverage. Reliance Steel's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 297.82 and 300.78, respectively. We have considered Reliance Steel's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Reliance Steel is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Reliance Steel Aluminum is based on 3 months time horizon.
Reliance Steel Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Reliance Steel is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Reliance Steel backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Reliance Steel, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.47 | 1.49 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 8 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
299.30 | 299.30 | 0.00 |
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Reliance Steel Hype Timeline
Reliance Steel Aluminum is at this time traded for 299.30on Frankfurt Exchange of Germany. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Reliance is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.47%. %. The volatility of related hype on Reliance Steel is about 2907.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 299.28. About 82.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Reliance Steel was at this time reported as 117.52. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 11.58. Reliance Steel Aluminum last dividend was issued on the 21st of November 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 20th of July 2006. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reliance Steel to cross-verify your projections.Reliance Steel Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Reliance Steel's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Reliance Steel's future price movements. Getting to know how Reliance Steel's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Reliance Steel may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| 9FM | COVIVIO HOTELS INH | 0.00 | 3 per month | 1.02 | (0.04) | 2.67 | (2.17) | 10.21 | |
| BXU | CDL INVESTMENT | 0.00 | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 2.63 | (2.63) | 7.83 | |
| 0XHR | Xenia Hotels Resorts | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.69 | 0.07 | 3.91 | (3.01) | 7.89 | |
| PD0 | Pebblebrook Hotel Trust | 0.50 | 9 per month | 1.59 | 0.03 | 3.79 | (2.83) | 11.19 | |
| HMT | Host Hotels Resorts | 0.1 | 6 per month | 1.51 | 0.07 | 3.40 | (3.36) | 11.40 | |
| 2WY | Wyndham Hotels Resorts | 1.00 | 7 per month | 1.69 | 0.01 | 3.23 | (2.96) | 10.62 | |
| IC1H | InterContinental Hotels Group | (2.00) | 7 per month | 1.17 | 0.05 | 3.33 | (2.52) | 8.03 | |
| CDZ0 | MHP Hotel AG | (0.01) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 3.60 | (4.26) | 11.68 |
Other Forecasting Options for Reliance Steel
For every potential investor in Reliance, whether a beginner or expert, Reliance Steel's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Reliance Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Reliance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Reliance Steel's price trends.Reliance Steel Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Reliance Steel stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Reliance Steel could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Reliance Steel by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Reliance Steel Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Reliance Steel stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Reliance Steel shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Reliance Steel stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Reliance Steel Aluminum entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 299.3 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 299.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (1.75) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (3.50) |
Reliance Steel Risk Indicators
The analysis of Reliance Steel's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Reliance Steel's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting reliance stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.7872 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.52 | |||
| Variance | 2.31 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.26 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.6196 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.53) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Reliance Steel
The number of cover stories for Reliance Steel depends on current market conditions and Reliance Steel's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Reliance Steel is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Reliance Steel's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Reliance Steel to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..