Risk George Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| RSKIA Stock | USD 17.51 0.60 3.55% |
Risk Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Risk George stock prices and determine the direction of Risk George Inds's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Risk George's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Risk George's share price is at 58 indicating that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Risk George, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Risk George hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Risk George Inds from the perspective of Risk George response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Risk George Inds on the next trading day is expected to be 17.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.73. Risk George after-hype prediction price | USD 17.53 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Risk |
Risk George Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Risk price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Risk using various technical indicators. When you analyze Risk charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Risk George Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 27th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Risk George Inds on the next trading day is expected to be 17.49 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.73.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Risk Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Risk George's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Risk George Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Risk George | Risk George Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Risk George Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Risk George's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Risk George's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.19 and 18.80, respectively. We have considered Risk George's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Risk George pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Risk George pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.224 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0069 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1122 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0066 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.7314 |
Predictive Modules for Risk George
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Risk George Inds. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Risk George After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Risk George at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Risk George or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Risk George, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Risk George Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Risk George's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Risk George's historical news coverage. Risk George's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.23 and 18.83, respectively. We have considered Risk George's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Risk George is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Risk George Inds is based on 3 months time horizon.
Risk George Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Risk George is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Risk George backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Risk George, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.30 | 0.02 | 0.00 | 4 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
17.51 | 17.53 | 0.11 |
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Risk George Hype Timeline
Risk George Inds is at this time traded for 17.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Risk is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 17.53 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price jump on the next news is estimated to be 0.11%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Risk George is about 1238.1%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 17.51. The company reported the revenue of 20.73 M. Net Income was 3.57 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 10.02 M. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Risk George to cross-verify your projections.Risk George Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Risk George's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Risk George's future price movements. Getting to know how Risk George's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Risk George may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BURCA | Burnham Holdings | 0.51 | 12 per month | 1.57 | 0.01 | 2.36 | (2.85) | 8.49 | |
| ONMBF | Onamba Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| PCRBF | Pricer AB | 0.51 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 39.47 | |
| MGNT | Meganet Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MAXQF | Maritime Launch Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.92 | 0.32 | 25.00 | (8.08) | 48.46 | |
| FLCX | flooidCX Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| SRL | Scully Royalty | 0.03 | 8 per month | 2.97 | 0.13 | 17.08 | (5.03) | 29.54 | |
| RRTS | Roadrunner Transportation Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.45 | 0.03 | 9.82 | (7.52) | 26.86 | |
| BSEAF | Braemar Shipping Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 10.63 | |
| SRRPF | Shagrir Group Vehicle | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 60.42 |
Other Forecasting Options for Risk George
For every potential investor in Risk, whether a beginner or expert, Risk George's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Risk Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Risk. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Risk George's price trends.Risk George Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Risk George pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Risk George could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Risk George by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Risk George Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Risk George pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Risk George shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Risk George pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Risk George Inds entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | 9.2 T | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.04 | |||
| Day Median Price | 17.51 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 17.51 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.3 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.6 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 58.25 |
Risk George Risk Indicators
The analysis of Risk George's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Risk George's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting risk pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7514 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.22 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.46 | |||
| Variance | 2.13 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.2 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.48 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.56) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Risk George
The number of cover stories for Risk George depends on current market conditions and Risk George's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Risk George is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Risk George's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Risk George Short Properties
Risk George's future price predictability will typically decrease when Risk George's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Risk George Inds often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Risk George's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Risk George's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5 M | |
| Dividends Paid | -2.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 37.1 M |
Other Information on Investing in Risk Pink Sheet
Risk George financial ratios help investors to determine whether Risk Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Risk with respect to the benefits of owning Risk George security.